When should Burnham call a general election?

To the extent that the economy matters in determining the timing of general elections and their result, our economic forecasts and the government's tax and spending plans imply that 2028 looks like a better year for Burnham than either 2027 or 2029.

We’re hosting an in-person roundtable event at our London office on Wednesday 14th October to discuss what Chancellor Healey could announce in his first Budget on 28th October, which taxes may rise, and the implications for the economy and financial markets. (Register here.)