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A shift in India’s geopolitical alignment

In our update of our Global Fracturing map for 2026, we now classify India as unaligned, rather than leaning towards the US, following the cooling of the relationship with the Trump administration. India’s government has pointedly reached out to China but there are limits to how far that rapprochement can go. It is far more likely that India leans back towards the US at some point than that it allies with China.

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