UK Economics Weekly When will vaccines unlock the economy? The length of the third lockdown in England will largely be determined by how long it takes to vaccinate the most vulnerable people. As a result, the pace of vaccinations over the next few weeks will... 8th January 2021 · 7 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Policymakers will make or break 2021 2021 is bound to be a better year for the economy than 2020. How much better depends on what happens with Brexit by 11pm GMT on 31 st December 2020 and whether or not the Chancellor tightens fiscal... 18th December 2020 · 7 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Policymakers will make or break 2021 2021 is bound to be a better year for the economy than 2020. How much better depends on what happens with Brexit by 11pm GMT on 31 st December 2020 and whether or not the Chancellor tightens fiscal... 18th December 2020 · 7 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Risk of a "cooperative" no deal Brexit rises The next Brexit decision “deadline” on Sunday 13 th December, may or may not be the turning point that results in the UK and EU hurtling either towards a deal or a no deal. But with the Brexit... 11th December 2020 · 9 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Will they won't they? The Brexit negotiations may finally come to a head this week before the next EU summit on Thursday 10 th December. We still think that a deal is more likely than not and with the pound already at our... 4th December 2020 · 7 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Brexit: will they won't they? The Brexit negotiations may finally come to a head this week before the next EU summit on Thursday 10 th December. We still think that a deal is more likely than not and with the pound already at our... 4th December 2020 · 7 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Brightening outlook reduces the need for tax hikes 27th November 2020 · 4 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Brightening outlook reduces the need for tax hikes With the positive news on COVID-19 vaccines brightening the economic outlook, we now think that by the middle of the decade the economy won’t be much smaller than if the COVID-19 crisis had never... 27th November 2020 · 4 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Outlook brightening, but risk politicians mess it up COVID-19 vaccines are brightening the economic outlook beyond the next few months. But there is risk that politicians will darken it again if they allow what we’re calling an “uncooperative” no deal... 20th November 2020 · 6 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Outlook brightening, but risk politicians mess it up COVID-19 vaccines are brightening the economic outlook beyond the next few months. But there is risk that politicians will darken it again if they allow what we’re calling an “uncooperative” no deal... 20th November 2020 · 6 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Vaccine may allow the UK to close the gap on its peers 13th November 2020 · 7 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Vaccine may allow the UK to close the gap on its peers The UK is one of the economies that stands to benefit the most from COVID-19 vaccines. As it has suffered by more than its peers on the way down, there is more scope for its bounce to be bigger on the... 13th November 2020 · 7 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Lockdown déjà vu The second lockdown will probably reduce the level of GDP in November by about 8.0% m/m. That would mean GDP in November would be about 15.5% below February’s level and might not regain its pre-crisis... 6th November 2020 · 8 mins read
UK Economics Risk of double-dip rising, Bank of England to do more It may only be a matter of time before the UK follows its European neighbours into a de facto national lockdown. As a result, there are big downside risks to our already downbeat forecast that GDP won... 30th October 2020 · 4 mins read
