APAC Commercial Property Outlook APAC Commercial Property Outlook: Values to fall as region’s markets struggle to recover The outlook for the Asia-Pacific markets is relatively poor. We think higher-for-longer bond yields will limit the pace of recovery in this cycle globally, but this will be compounded by a weak... 27th June 2025 · 20 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook US Commercial Property Outlook: More capital value falls to come in all sectors this year We think the short-term outlook for capital values is poor, with valuations looking stretched across all measures. This does not appear to be reflected in other forecasts, meaning our forecasts for... 24th June 2025 · 22 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Europe Commercial Property Outlook: Insulated from tariffs but outlook for property values is weak European commercial property is relatively insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, but property markets are also not likely to see substantial benefit from more fiscal spending. In all, our... 19th June 2025 · 27 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Jun. 25) UK commercial property is on the road to recovery and lending to the sector has been strong in recent months. But with yields set to remain stable, the rise in capital values will be modest over the... 18th June 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Closing UK commercial property SDLT ‘loophole’ will weigh on capital values The Deputy Prime Minister has urged the Chancellor to close the commercial property stamp duty ‘loophole’, which could lead to an average increase in tax on property transactions of 2.0 to 2.5%-pts... 13th June 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Corporate bonds offer more proof of stretched US CRE valuations On the back of the MSCI and NCREIF indices reporting rising capital values in Q1 and our significantly below-consensus forecast views for the next two years, we are again re-evaluating our forecasts... 11th June 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2025) All-property capital values edged up by 0.1% in Q1, marking the first increase since mid-2022. Meanwhile, appraisal-based cap rates were flat after compressing by a slight margin in Q4 2024. We still... 30th May 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update IPF Consensus Forecasts (May. 25.) There were few major changes in the May IPF Consensus Survey despite increased economic uncertainty. Total returns at the all-property level are forecast to be around 8.0% p.a. over 2025-29, which... 29th May 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Outlook UK Commercial Property Outlook: Property insulated from tariffs but recovery weak UK commercial property is relatively well insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, and some sectors may even see small benefits. Rental growth has also held up better than expected. But with... 20th May 2025 · 26 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook US Housing Outlook: Market in need of rate relief that is not coming President Trump’s inflationary trade and immigration policies leave no clear path to the lower borrowing costs that the housing market desperately needs. A tariff-driven resurgence in inflation will... 2nd May 2025 · 15 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Could UK commercial property benefit from US tariffs? The UK economy is relatively well insulated from the rise in US tariffs, and property even more so. Indeed, while the overall direct impact is likely to be small, some commercial sectors may even see... 29th April 2025 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Update NCREIF Q1 Index shows US commercial property values now rising, but valuation gaps persist The NCREIF Property Index (NPI) recorded a third consecutive quarter of positive total returns in Q1 2025, driven primarily by income. Although capital value growth turned positive, questions remain... 28th April 2025 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Q1 RICS survey shows resilient US CRE sentiment, but downside risks ahead The Q1 RICS US commercial property survey reported steady investment sentiment. That is in line with our belief that the market is headed for an upturn, although the impact of new tariffs and the... 25th April 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update RICS survey points to a subdued UK commercial property recovery The Q1 RICS survey showed little change from the previous quarter, with surveyors pointing to subdued levels of occupier demand and elevated availability. That points to a slowdown in rental growth... 25th April 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Chart Pack Global Commercial Property Chartpack (Q1 2025) Aside from some industrial assets, commercial property is not directly impacted by higher tariffs. However, uncertainty and the likelihood that economic growth slows will likely hold back investment... 17th April 2025 · 0 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Midwest outperformance will not last More encouraging figures from the previously underperforming Midwest region suggest that it may be turning a corner. But while this may continue for several quarters more, there has not been enough... 9th April 2025 · 3 mins read
