Brexit deal removes one potential brake on the recovery

Today’s news that a UK-EU Brexit deal will soon be announced may not boost the financial markets by much more than it already has. But a decent economic recovery from the COVID-19 crisis in the second half of next year may mean that the pound rises from $1.36 now to around $1.40 by the end of 2021 and the FTSE 100 climbs from 6,500 to about 7,500.

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