Poland’s twin deficits cloud an otherwise bright outlook

Poland’s economy remains in something of a ‘sweet spot’ for now, but recent upward revisions to the current account shortfall reinforce our long-standing concerns about the country’s twin deficits. In the near-term this is likely to limit any significant further upside for the zloty. Over the medium-term, however, it seems likely that the government will need to unveil a more ambitious plan to rein in its budget deficit if Poland is to stay ahead of the pack in Emerging Europe.