Africa Economics Weekly SA data rush gives reason to be (somewhat) upbeat The raft of economic data released in South Africa over the past week suggests that the economy will continue to expand at a solid (albeit unspectacular) pace over the course of 2026-27. Will the AI... 5th December 2025 · 6 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook Electoral forks in the road Latin America’s GDP growth is likely to slow a little in 2026 and, with inflation softening, monetary easing is likely to continue. The scale of rate cuts will vary across countries, with a large... 4th December 2025 · 23 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economic Outlook Strengthening growth and shifting alignments The Middle East and North Africa is set to record its fastest pace of GDP growth (outside the post-pandemic recovery) since 2011 next year. Continued oil output hikes and the switch on of Qatar’s... 4th December 2025 · 22 mins read
Global Economics Update World trade defying tariff headwinds World trade grew relatively strongly in Q3 and looks to have maintained this momentum at the start of Q4. Despite signs of weakness in some Asian economies’ exports in October, the region should... 3rd December 2025 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Focus Taiwan’s economy to keep flying in 2026 Taiwan is on course to record GDP growth of over 7% this year and our forecast for the economy to expand by another 5% next year lies well above the consensus. Rapid growth in exports of AI-related... 2nd December 2025 · 8 mins read
China Economics Update Six non-consensus calls for China for 2026 Almost everyone expects real economic growth in China to slow next year. But most forecasters think the picture will brighten in nominal terms thanks to a rebound in inflation and a bottoming out of... 1st December 2025 · 8 mins read
Asia Economics Update Asia Manufacturing PMIs, Korea Trade (November) The November PMI readings for most countries in Asia remained consistent with soft manufacturing activity. However, the PMIs haven’t been a great guide to the hard activity data for some economies... 1st December 2025 · 3 mins read
Africa Chart Pack Africa Chart Pack (Nov. 2025) Growth prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa look bright, with inflation low or falling for most and a monetary easing cycle well under way, with many central banks likely to cut rates deeper than most... 28th November 2025 · 0 mins read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global Economics Chart pack (November 2025) The latest data suggest that the global economy has maintained its momentum at the start of Q4. Global trade and industry have held up well despite US tariffs, although there were signs of cracks in... 28th November 2025 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update AI boom fuelling Mexico’s exports The sharp rise in Mexico’s goods exports in October underscores that the country’s external sector has continued to fare well in the face of US tariffs. That has been helped by a surge in sales of... 27th November 2025 · 3 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Nov. 25) China's economy slowed in October, driven by weaker services sector activity. And the rebound in the trade-weighted exchange rate looks to have weighed on exports, which contracted in y/y terms. We... 27th November 2025 · 0 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Emerging Markets Capital Flows Monitor (Nov. 2025) Capital outflows from EMs have picked up over the past month, particularly from Asian equity markets which may reflect the broader drop in tech stocks globally. But the scale of outflows is limited... 27th November 2025 · 0 mins read
India Chart Pack India Chart Pack (November 2025) After a very strong run, India’s economy faces a more challenging few quarters in the face of punitive US tariffs. But hopes are growing again that these could be reduced. And in any case, domestic... 26th November 2025 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update No surge in EZ imports from China this year Fears of an influx of imports from China to the euro-zone this year have not materialised. The volume of imports from China has risen but not at an exceptional pace, and both volumes and values remain... 25th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Egypt’s balance sheet risks high but likely to recede Egypt’s devaluation and shift back towards macro orthodoxy 18 months ago have put the economy back on the path towards restoring macroeconomic stability. The situation is still very fragile – Egypt... 24th November 2025 · 4 mins read
