Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Fiscal Monitor (Jul.) It is becoming increasingly clear that some of the peripheral economies will struggle to meet their budget deficit targets this year. And the new Greek package, like its predecessors, is unlikely to... 2nd August 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Unemployment (Jun.) & Manu. PMI (Final, Jul.) June’s euro-zone unemployment figures provide further evidence that the labour market is starting to weaken in response to the slowdown in the wider economy. 2nd August 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Slowdown spreads to Germany Data last week brought perhaps the firmest signs yet that the slowdown in euro-zone economic activity has spread to the region’s core. With exports weakening in response to slowing world demand and... 2nd August 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Belgian GDP (Q2) Q2’s flash Belgian GDP figure, the first release from a euro-zone economy, revealed that the economy expanded at a pretty strong pace. But this does little to change our view that growth in the euro... 30th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Jul.) July’s euro-zone flash consumer prices figures came as something of a pleasant surprise and provide some support for our view that the ECB may not raise interest rates again over the coming months. 30th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Swedish GDP (Q2) Q2’s GDP figures confirm that Sweden continues to expand at breakneck speed. Although growth will ease in the second half of the year, Sweden will remain one of Europe’s top performers. 30th July 2011 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish GDP (Q2 11) Q2’s GDP figures confirm that Sweden continues to expand at breakneck speed. Although growth will ease in the second half of the year, Sweden will remain one of Europe’s top performers. 29th July 2011 · 1 min read
ECB Watch ECB to remain in hawkish mode for now At August’s press conference, the ECB is likely to keep its options open over the likely near-term path of interest rates. But given the further decline in business and consumer sentiment and growing... 29th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will Czech retail rental values recover this year? Over recent weeks, the downside risks to our forecasts for a modest recovery in retail rental values in Prague this year have increased. But, if we are right, some of the factors weighing on Czech... 29th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Jul.) July’s fall in euro-zone economic sentiment adds to the evidence of a broad-based economic slowdown. The decline in the economy-wide Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI), from 105.1 to 103.2, was... 29th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Jul.) The latest ECB Bank lending survey suggests that conditions in the euro-zone banking sector remain far from normal, supporting our view that domestic demand in the region as a whole will struggle to... 29th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Flash CPI (Jul.) & Euro-zone M3 (Jun.) July’s rise in German CPI inflation appears to have been driven by energy prices. Underlying price pressures remain subdued and with the economic recovery already slowing, there is little risk of a... 28th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economic Outlook Crisis deepens as slowdown spreads to the core The latest rescue package for Greece has reduced the threat of a near-term catastrophe in the eurozone.But it does not address the fundamental problems facing Greece itself and is unlikely to bring an... 27th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Back from the brink, for now The positive market reaction to the Greek rescue package is not without some justification. After all, following the dithering and disagreement of recent months, it would not have been a shock if... 26th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update End of the road for German industrial yield compression? We suspect that Q2’s fall in yields may mark the end of the road for the German industrial investment market recovery. As our fears of a rapid slowdown in the manufacturing recovery are borne out... 26th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Jul.) July’s drop in the German Ifo index was another sign that the recovery in the eurozone’s largest and strongest economy is faltering. 23rd July 2011 · 1 min read
