Europe Economics Weekly Housing rebound to provide some support to recovery Data released over the last week point to a brightening outlook for euro-zone households, not least because the region’s housing market downturn may be easing. But given the state of households’... 27th January 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Euro-zone recovery offset by slowdown in China Business surveys published today suggest that the euro-zone recovery gained momentum in January, while China's manufacturing slowdown has continued. 23rd January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Is Spain set for a household spending-led recovery? The Spanish economy may have ended 2013 on a relatively high note. But we would be wary of concluding that all the pieces are now in place for a solid and sustained economic recovery this year. 23rd January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Jan.) January’s euro-zone flash PMIs suggested that the region’s weak recovery is gathering pace. But pressure will remain on the ECB to ease policy further in the coming months. 23rd January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW Survey (Jan.) January’s ZEW survey confirmed that German investors have started the new year in a reasonably optimistic mood. 21st January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Real estate equities point to period of weakness in euro-zone values The recent weakness in euro-zone real estate equity prices suggests that capital value growth in the physical property market will slow to zero over the coming quarters. Improved confidence within the... 20th January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Is industry defying the strong euro? Not only did November's industrial production figures indicate that euro-zone GDP may have risen more strongly in Q4 than in Q3, but they also suggested that the euro's strength is not overwhelming... 20th January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Dutch banks still a weight on the recovery Although financial conditions in the Netherlands are set to improve in 2014, the country’s banking system will weigh on the recovery for a while yet. 16th January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update France gets to grips with its structural problems, slowly The new “responsibility pact” is a step forward for the French economy. Taken together with other planned measures, France is now slowly tackling some of its structural problems. 15th January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are investors starting to shun Paris? Perhaps unsurprisingly given the weak state of the French economy, the Ile-de-France office occupier downturn stepped up a notch in 2013. More notable, though, was the fall in the investment volume... 15th January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economic Outlook Deflation dangers cast shadow over recovery The European economy looks set for another year of weak growth in 2014, with the euro-zone likely to do little more than stagnate. Against that background, the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to... 15th January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Trade (Nov.) The latest euro-zone trade data confirm that the external sector continues to struggle against the strong euro. This will add to pressure on the ECB to take further policy action in the coming months. 15th January 2014 · 1 min read
DM Valuations Monitor Are euro-zone government bonds favourably valued? Government bond yields have continued to fall in much of the euro-zone in response to improving economic conditions. Spreads over German Bunds have fallen to multi-year lows in many nations. But... 14th January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (Nov.) While November’s euro-zone industrial production figures provided hope that the economy regained a bit of momentum towards the end of last year, they don’t negate the need for more policy action from... 14th January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Norway set for several years of below-trend growth The Norwegian economy will slow more than the consensus expects over the coming years as its two major tailwinds in recent years – booms in the housing and energy sectors – fade out. 13th January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Is QE finally on the way? Last week’s assertions from Mario Draghi that the ECB stands ready to use all instruments allowed by the EU Treaty looked like a hint that it is finally considering engaging in quantitative easing... 13th January 2014 · 1 min read