Global Markets Update How far can the Bank of Japan's QE replace the Fed's? Japanese investors are perhaps more likely to follow global trends than to lead them, but the Bank of Japan will help keep global monetary conditions loose even when the Fed starts to taper QE3. 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Fed sends markets reeling Latin American bonds, equities and currencies have slumped over the past month after the US Fed signalled its intention to taper its asset purchases under QE3 later this year. But while financial... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Can Carney save the day? The recent rise in interest rate expectations and gilt yields has boosted the case for Mr Carney to start on a strong note by introducing forward guidance and resuming quantitative easing. Bold action... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
US Employment Report Preview Softer surveys point to more modest monthly job gains The recent weakening in the survey evidence suggests that jobs growth in June may not have quite matched the 175,000 rise in payroll employment in May. But an increase in payrolls of around 150,000... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Recent bond yield rises might not be as bad for property as they seem The recent bond market sell-off is unlikely to trigger a commercial property triple-dip. But it may take the heat out of London and other prime segments, while also acting as a catalyst for increased... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Spending recovery built on fragile foundations Today’s news on the state of households’ finances shows that consumer spending is continuing to rise despite falling real incomes. But that this is only being achieved by a sharp fall in saving... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
ECB Watch Still mulling more support; exit remains distant With the news that the US Fed is set to taper its QE programme hitting euro-zone financial markets, President Draghi should provide reassurance about ongoing ECB policy support at the forthcoming... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Activity Monitor EM growth slows to weakest pace since global financial crisis Our GDP Tracker suggests that the EM slowdown has continued into the start of Q2. Although all three main regions have reported disappointing growth, there are signs that the downturn in Emerging... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Will the Government get the housing market going? The Chancellor’s efforts to engineer a sustainable, demand-led recovery in mortgage lending and housebuilding are unlikely to succeed. One possible outcome is that prices simply surge, pushing housing... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Jun.) The EC consumer and business survey for June made pretty encouraging reading, but it remains too soon to conclude that the euro-zone is on the cusp of an economic recovery. 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
UK Data Response National Accounts & Balance of Payments (Q1) The latest GDP revisions show that the UK has further to go in terms of regaining pre-crisis levels of output than previously thought. And although the breakdown of Q1 GDP now looks a bit more... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (May 13) May’s monetary data revealed that bank credit contracted again, reinforcing our belief that the ECB will be forced into further action by the end of the year. 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Vietnam’s economy to remain in the doldrums Data released today suggest that Vietnam’s economy remains in the doldrums, amid a severe banking crisis which has led to a squeeze on credit. Problems in the banking sector are likely to weigh on the... 27th June 2013 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Focus In case of emergency: Blow the budget Fiscal policy might have to provide more stimulus soon unless economic growth improves materially. For housing bears such as ourselves, the potential for additional fiscal stimulus helps to limit the... 26th June 2013 · 1 min read
EM Valuations Monitor Will lower valuations tempt investors back? The plunge in emerging market equity prices has driven the price/earnings ratios of the MSCI Emerging Asia Index and MSCI EMEA Index down towards their lowest levels since late 2011 and the earlier... 26th June 2013 · 1 min read
