Asia Economics Update Low interest rates and rising exports to support Korean growth Korea's economy recorded another quarter of strong growth in Q4 last year, thanks mainly to a pick-up in external demand. The economy should remain fairly strong over the next couple of years, thanks... 23rd January 2014 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Shrinking workforce not a major growth risk Contrary to some headlines this week, the ongoing decline in China’s working age population does not pose a major threat to China’s medium-term growth prospects. What matters is what happens to worker... 23rd January 2014 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Senior Loan Officer Survey (Q4) The BoJ’s Senior Loan Officer Survey shows that despite some slowdown in household loan demand, overall loan demand continues to accelerate. 23rd January 2014 · 1 min read
Capital Daily ECB likely to announce further easing before the Bank of Japan 23rd January 2014 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Update Bank of Canada slightly more dovish than before Although it stopped short of adopting an easing bias, the Bank of Canada's policy statement revealed that it is more concerned than before about persistently low inflation. With the long awaited... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Little to galvanise the steel price in 2014 Lower production costs and only modest growth in demand is likely to mean that steel mills will have little pricing power in 2014 and that prices will fall. By 2015, however, if consolidation in China... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade growth recovering slowly The volume of world trade rose marginally in November and surveys suggest that it may have accelerated since then. Nonetheless, the pace of growth continues to lag significantly behind its pre-crisis... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Where next for Russian property yields? The strength of the Russian investment market may suggest that our forecast for unchanged office and retail yields this year and next is too cautious. But the subdued economic outlook, the falls in... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update No sign that Japan is exporting deflation Fears that yen weakness will trigger a surge of cheap Japanese exports and hence raise the risks of deflation elsewhere have, so far at least, proved wide of the mark. In practice, Japan’s firms have... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update 2014: a stellar year for Mexican industry The decline in Mexican industrial production in November will test the patience of even the biggest Mexico bulls. Nonetheless, with US demand going from strength-to-strength, in this Watch we explain... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
UK Data Response Labour Data, MPC Mins (Jan.) & Pub. Fin. (Dec.) Today’s figures show that conditions are continuing to improve rapidly in the labour market. But the further fall in the unemployment rate is unlikely to trigger an imminent interest rate hike by the... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Russia's deteriorating external position a sign that all is not well Russia’s current account surplus declined over the course of 2013 and, for the first time since the 2008/09 crisis, became insufficient to cover capital outflows. Of course, with over $500bn in FX... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update BoJ still likely to ease more as dissenting voices increase The Bank of Japan threw no surprises in its monetary policy decision today and is under no immediate pressure to announce further easing. But with some board members still unconvinced that the... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thailand's political crisis still likely to trigger another rate cut Despite rising concerns about the impact of Thailand's political crisis on the economy, the Bank of Thailand (BoT) opted to keep its policy rate at 2.25% today. But with no clear resolution to the... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Could local politicians block the restart of nuclear energy? The upcoming gubernatorial election in Tokyo is being widely billed as a referendum on national energy policy, with one prominent candidate running on an anti-nuclear platform. However, the influence... 22nd January 2014 · 1 min read
