Capital Daily When do geopolitical developments threaten economic growth? 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response CoreLogic House Prices (Aug.) The increase in the CoreLogic measure of house prices in August, although barely half the average monthly gain of 2012 and 2013, suggests that the housing market is putting the soft patch in prices... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Weaker currencies add to need for tighter monetary policy African currencies have not been immune to the recent sell-off in EM financial markets, raising concern in some countries about rising inflation. In this Watch, we examine which economies are likely... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Rates in Indonesia to remain on hold for a while yet Today’s decision by Bank Indonesia (BI) to leave interest rates on hold despite the slowing economy reflects continued unease over the size of the current account deficit. With the deficit likely to... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey (Q3) Credit availability contracted in both the commercial and residential sectors in the third quarter, with mortgages seeing a particularly severe decline. But while lenders expect the availability of... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Data Response Industrial Prod. (Aug.) & BoE Credit Conditions Survey (Q3) August’s fairly weak industrial production figures provided further evidence thatthe economic recovery remained unbalanced in the third quarter. Meanwhile, Q3’sCredit Conditions Survey suggested that... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Non-oil sectors in the Gulf performing well September’s ‘whole economy’ PMI data suggest that non-oil sectors in the Gulf, and in Saudi Arabia in particular, ended the third quarter on a strong note. Meanwhile, the survey provided further... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update The ruble’s decline and what it means for Russia The steep fall in the ruble over the past month will affect different parts of the economy in different ways. The government is likely to be one of the major winners. By contrast, consumers are likely... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update BoJ not yet ready to expand stimulus With policy settings again left unchanged, the key development at today’s Bank of Japan meeting was policymakers’ acknowledgement of the recent sluggishness of the economy. However, we still think... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production (Aug.) August’s big drop in industrial production all but confirmed that German industry is back in recession and underlined the need for both the ECB and the German Government to give the euro-zone’s... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Interest rates in Australia to remain low The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its main policy rate on hold at 2.50% today, and again signalled that it is not planning any change in monetary policy in the near-term. Although most analysts... 7th October 2014 · 1 min read
DM Markets Chart Pack US stock market running out of steam Since the end of August, the S&P 500 has fallen by about 2%. Although September’s US Employment Report was healthy, with the jobless rate falling below 6% for the first time in more than six years, a... 6th October 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update How big is the threat from “geopolitics”? Geopolitical risks have grabbed the headlines recently and have been cited as a key factor depressing global economic prospects. However, the military conflicts which have attracted most attention... 6th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus Will the euro-zone ever escape abnormality? Don’t be fooled by the apparent normalisation of the euro-zone’s financial markets. Conditions in the currency union’s economy are still a very long way from normal. 6th October 2014 · 1 min read
Commodities Update What risks does Ebola pose to commodity markets? Aside from cocoa, the outbreak of the Ebola virus in West Africa has not yet had a significant impact on commodity prices. The main reason is that the three most affected countries – Guinea, Liberia... 6th October 2014 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Brazil’s first round election result gives markets hope of reform 6th October 2014 · 1 min read
