US Data Response Consumer Prices (Apr.) The pass through of higher commodity prices pushed consumer price inflation up to a two-and-a-half-year high of 3.2% in April, from 2.7%. Nevertheless, with commodity prices now dropping back, the Fed... 13th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Data Response Retail Sales & Producer Prices (Apr.) April's retail sales data were something of a double-edged sword. Upward revisions to sales in both February and March mean that annualised GDP growth in the first quarter may be revised up from 1.8%... 12th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Chart Pack Price declines accelerating The latest evidence suggests that prices have started to fall at a faster pace once again. After having dropped by 1.0% m/m in both December and January, prices on the seasonally adjusted FHFA index... 11th May 2011 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response International Merchandise Trade (Mar.) Following the boost from a rebound in energy output late last year, export growth held up relatively well in Q1, thanks in part to a rebound in the auto sector. March’s trade data suggest the economy... 11th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Data Response International Trade (Mar.) It's taken two-and-a-half years, but US exports finally recovered in March to the levels seen before the recession. However, imports have risen just as fast. As the level of imports is still much... 11th May 2011 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Profits of doom The growth rate of US domestic corporate profits has outstripped the growth rate of the US economy significantly since the end of the Great Recession. However, corporate profits are now coming under... 9th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update Outlook for condo prices not as bleak Recent news has highlighted the severity of the renewed downturn in prices of single-family homes. Although condominiums will not escape altogether, over the next year or so condo prices are likely to... 9th May 2011 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Business sector will buffer construction downturn Stronger business investment in non-residential structures should at least partly buffer the negative impact on the construction sector from an expected downturn in homebuilding and the tailing off of... 9th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Economics Weekly Treasury getting perilously close to debt ceiling In all likelihood, the Federal government will hit its debt ceiling at the start of next week, although the Treasury can use a number of accounting tricks to delay the day of reckoning, perhaps until... 9th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Data Response Employment Report (Apr.) The 244,000 increase in non-farm payrolls in April will come as something of a relief to the financial markets, particularly after the surge in initial jobless claims reported yesterday and the slump... 6th May 2011 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response Labour Force Survey (Apr.) April's job figures provide some comfort that economic growth held up towards the end of the first quarter, following February's decline in monthly GDP. Given the slowdown we expect in the US later... 6th May 2011 · 1 min read
Canada Chart Pack Canada's 'V' shape housing recovery Housing investment has rebounded close to historical highs, since the sharp declines during the global financial crisis. Unlike in other countries, this 'V' shape recovery was due to a stable banking... 4th May 2011 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Apr.) Despite the latest fall back in mortgage rates, appetite for mortgage borrowing is still stuck in a rut. This supports our view that the cost of borrowing is not the problem. Instead, a number of long... 4th May 2011 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Update Federal election results supportive to economy The Federal election results should be supportive for equity markets, the Canadian dollar and business investment. A pro-business majority Conservative government may also look to forge new bilateral... 3rd May 2011 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Fed's survey shows diverging demand for loans The Fed's latest survey of Senior Loan Officers shows a rapidly widening divergence between the strengthening demand for commercial loans and the falling demand for residential mortgages. 2nd May 2011 · 1 min read
US Data Response ISM Manufacturing Index (Apr.) Today's data releases show that while the manufacturing sector is still leading the recovery, the construction sector remains mired in recession. 2nd May 2011 · 1 min read
