India Economics Weekly Equity market underperformance has further to run Foreign investors returned as net buyers of Indian equities over the past month. But we doubt this marks the start of a sustained or broad-based recovery in confidence toward India’s equity market... 7th November 2025 · 4 mins read
China Rapid Response China Merchandise Trade (Oct. 2025) Headline export growth slowed sharply last month. US tariffs remained a drag, but the latest slowdown was led by shipments to other markets, suggesting that the renminbi's recent trade-weighted... 7th November 2025 · 3 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Valuation Monitor APAC Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q4 2025) Asia-Pacific valuation scores were unchanged in Q3, as property and bond yields saw little movement. While most markets are now fairly valued according to our scores, we expect high risk-free rates to... 7th November 2025 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Weekly Better rice harvest won’t result in price plunge The renewed jump in rice prices in recent months probably reflects the depletion of inventories ahead of this year’s harvest. If rice output picks up as strongly as the government is anticipating... 7th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Asia Rapid Response Malaysia: Monetary Policy Meeting (November 2025) 6th November 2025 · 2 mins read
Japan Chart Pack Japan Chart Pack (Nov. 25) Our Japan Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. GDP growth will slow from its current above-trend rate to a more sustainable pace. However, with... 6th November 2025 · 1 min read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Labour Cash Earnings (Sep. 2025) Although wage growth picked up a notch in September, regular earnings growth remained lacklustre. That said, if we’re right that next year’s spring wage negotiations will result in a strong lift in... 6th November 2025 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily Waning enthusiasm for AI would weigh on Asian stock markets If today’s respite in stock markets doesn’t last, some tech-heavy ones in Asia would be particularly vulnerable to a deeper AI-related pull-back judging by their performance overnight. 5th November 2025 · 4 mins read
Asia Rapid Response Indonesia GDP (Q3 2025) Official figures released today showed that Indonesia’s GDP growth stood at 5.0% y/y in Q3, but we don’t have much faith in the data – growth has been close to 5% for the past few years. Our... 5th November 2025 · 2 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Slow going for EM manufacturers Although the EM manufacturing PMI dipped in October, the index remains close to its highest level since the start of the year. Even so, China’s industrial sector has lost momentum recently and the... 3rd November 2025 · 2 mins read
Global Economics Update Explaining our non-consensus views on central banks We recently hosted an online Drop-In session to review the latest Fed and ECB decisions and preview the Bank of England’s November meeting. (Recording available here.) This Update provides answers to... 3rd November 2025 · 6 mins read
Capital Daily AI rally keeps on trucking in spite of the Fed A more hawkish tone from the Fed and a mixed reaction to recent big tech earnings reports presents another potential speedbump for risky assets. Ultimately, we think continued robust US growth... 3rd November 2025 · 6 mins read
Asia Economics Update Asia Manufacturing PMIs, Korea Trade (October) The October PMI readings for most countries in Asia remained consistent with weak manufacturing activity. We expect economic growth in the region to soften in the near term and, with inflation likely... 3rd November 2025 · 3 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap FOMC strikes back; dollar rebound has further to go The dollar has continued to strengthen in the wake of a relatively hawkish message from the FOMC. Combined with a generally more neutral stance from other central banks this week, that has taken the... 31st October 2025 · 6 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Asia Chart Pack (October 2025) Our Asia Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. With growth likely to soften in the coming months and inflation subdued, further interest rate cuts... 31st October 2025 · 0 mins read