Asia Economics Update Monetary policy in Singapore to stay unchanged for some time The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) today left its monetary policy settings unchanged, having loosened policy at its last meeting in April. With the economy set to exit deflation over the coming... 14th October 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Focus The end of the Golden Age Widespread expectations for a sustained rebound in emerging market growth after the slowdown of recent years will be disappointed. The 2000s were a transient “Golden Age” for the emerging world, with... 13th October 2016 · 20 mins read
India Data Response Consumer Prices (Sep.) The fall in India’s consumer price inflation rate last month is likely to fuel talk of further rate cuts. However, if the RBI pulls the trigger and loosens policy again, it could ultimately backfire... 13th October 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update King’s death casts shadow over Thailand The death of Thailand’s highly-revered king will plunge the country into a state of mourning, and also deep political uncertainty. There is a risk that political tensions flare up, triggering a... 13th October 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korean rates to stay on prolonged hold The Bank of Korea (BoK) kept its policy rate unchanged at 1.25% today, and while the consensus expects another rate cut in the coming months, we think rising concerns about Korea’s high household debt... 13th October 2016 · 1 min read
EM Markets Chart Pack Political risks hit Mexican peso and South African rand The Mexican peso and South African rand have been buffetted by political developments in recent weeks, as Donald Trump continued to take aim at Mexico and South Africa’s Finance Minister was charged... 11th October 2016 · 1 min read
India Data Response Industrial Production (Aug.) Industrial production data for August suggest that, in contrast to the upbeat message from the strong GDP data, Indian industry is still in the doldrums. 11th October 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Poor health of the king is the key risk to Thai growth outlook The worsening health of the King of Thailand poses a key risk to the country’s economy. His death would plunge the country back into political crisis, which in turn could push the economy into... 10th October 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly What would a Trump victory mean for Asia? It remains to be seen if Donald Trump would follow through on some of his more protectionist policies if he is elected president of the United States. If he did, then the repercussions for some parts... 7th October 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economic Outlook Recovery to grind on Economies across the emerging world have strengthened so far this year and we expect further improvements in the months ahead. But growth is likely to peak in 2017 at rates far below the averages of... 6th October 2016 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Dovish RBI risks stoking inflation pressures Consumer price inflation probably eased in September, which may bolster the more dovish position the RBI adopted at its policy meeting this week. But a looser monetary stance is likely to add to... 6th October 2016 · 1 min read
India Economics Update More dovish RBI may have to reverse course in 2017 Today’s surprise rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India sends a signal that the new governor and MPC will prioritise growth even at the risk of missing targets for inflation. That’s a break from the... 4th October 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economic Outlook Loose monetary and fiscal policy to support growth While Emerging Asia continues to face headwinds, loose fiscal and monetary policy in most economies should continue to support demand over the next couple of years, and we expect regional growth to... 4th October 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update EM manufacturing recovery continued in Q3 The EM manufacturing PMIs for September suggest that industry across the emerging world performed better in Q3 than in Q2. That said, the index remains consistent with relatively weak growth in... 3rd October 2016 · 1 min read
India Data Response Manufacturing PMI (Sep.) The drop in India's manufacturing PMI in September provides a reminder that, despite progress on the reform front, local industry still faces significant headwinds. 3rd October 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Sep.) The PMIs for Emerging Asia in September were mostly encouraging, suggesting that manufacturing conditions in the region are slowly gaining a firmer footing. However, the struggles of Korea’s... 3rd October 2016 · 1 min read
