China Economics Update Party Congress work report to offer early hints of Xi’s power Anticipation is building ahead of next month’s Party Congress, which is widely seen as a potential watershed in policymaking if it results in President Xi successfully consolidating his power. The... 7th September 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update South Korea: counting the economic cost of THAAD Chinese retaliation over South Korea’s deployment of the US Terminal High Altitude Defense (THAAD) system has led to a sharp slump in Chinese tourist arrivals in South Korea and a big fall in Korean... 6th September 2017 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Has demonetisation been a complete failure? On the face of it, demonetisation has been an abject failure given its lack of success in rooting out illicit wealth while also causing growth to slow sharply. But demonetisation is likely to have... 6th September 2017 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Brazil: Temer clings on but hopes for pension reform fading Brazil’s government should continue to make headway in reforming a number of areas of the economy, but we think that the prospects of meaningful reform to the country’s pension system is now no more... 5th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update What will Norway’s election mean for the economy? Polls suggest that the Green Party might emerge from Norway’s general election, on 11th September, as “kingmaker”. In that case, confidence in the large oil sector would probably fall. But overall, we... 4th September 2017 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Brexit Watch: Stand-off continues This week’s third round of negotiations saw some limited progress. But the overriding sense from yesterday’s press conference was that Britain is still seeking to negotiate outside the format imposed... 1st September 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly French outlook bright despite reform worries French consumers are, rather unusually, very upbeat at the moment, with measures of consumer confidence at or close to multi-year highs. In particular, they are much less worried about being made... 1st September 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Aug.) Emerging Asia’s PMIs for August suggest the region’s manufacturing sectors gained a little bit of momentum last month. In particular, there were signs of improvement in both Korea and Taiwan – the two... 1st September 2017 · 1 min read
Frontier Markets Wrap Politics centre stage In a quiet month for economic news across frontier markets, politics has provided a regular stream of headlines. Investors were buoyed by results from Argentina’s primary elections which showed that... 31st August 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Industrial Production (Jul.) The renewed fall in industrial production and the slump in capital goods shipments in July suggest that growth slowed in the third quarter. 31st August 2017 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Brazil’s political crisis puts back pension reform The past month has brought some signs that the continuing political crisis in Brazil is starting to weigh on the more ambitious elements of the government’s reform programme. While President Temer’s... 30th August 2017 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Intrigue in the House of Saud Changes at the top of the royal family have paved the way for King Salman’s son, Mohammed bin Salman, to accede to the throne, with some suggesting that an abdication and succession could take place... 30th August 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response EC Business & Consumer Survey (Aug.) The rise in the EC’s measure of euro-zone economic sentiment in August left the index pointing to stronger GDP growth ahead and will do little to take the pressure off the euro exchange rate. But with... 30th August 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Small Business Confidence (Aug) Small business confidence was little changed in August and points to small gains in industrial production. But despite mounting capacity shortages, price pressures remain contained . 30th August 2017 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Debt ceiling negotiations about to enter crucial stage Congress should act to raise the debt ceiling by mid-October, but a short shutdown looks inevitable. Moreover, the tensions between the White House and the various Republican factions in Congress make... 28th August 2017 · 1 min read
