Asia Economics Update Korea’s private sector takes the lead Korea’s GDP growth slowed in Q2 and is likely to stay on a weaker track in coming quarters. The recovery is unlikely to stall and we still expect the Bank of Korea (BoK) to lift its policy rate in... 26th July 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update New Zealand rates to rise this week but a pause is close Economic growth in New Zealand will probably fall short of what the Reserve Bank (RBNZ), and the consensus, currently expect. The cash rate is virtually certain to move up this week but the tightening... 26th July 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Softer tone of recent data won't stop rate hikes Although the incoming data from Latin America have shown tentative signs that the recovery in the region is losing some of its steam, this is in line with our expectations and does not alter the... 19th July 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Inflation pressures still thin on the ground (Jul 10) Most countries in the region are on the road to recovery, but the large amount of spare capacity created by last year’s recession means that on the whole the outlook for inflation remains extremely... 16th July 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Policy challenges for the new Government The new coalition Government has made an industrious start. But it still faces some major policy challenges if it is to achieve the multiple goals of sorting out the public finances, improving... 15th July 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Philippine rates to stay on hold for a while The Philippines’ central bank (BSP) kept policy rates on hold at 4.0% today. This was expected by the consensus although we had thought there might be a hike. The economic upswing should stay on track... 15th July 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Policy challenges for the new UK Government The new coalition Government has made an industrious start. But it still faces some major policy challenges if it is to achieve the multiple goals of sorting out the public finances, improving... 15th July 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update India to hike rates again soon Recent India data show that inflation pressures remain acute and that the economic upswing is still broadly on track. Further monetary tightening is only a matter of time. It is almost certain that... 14th July 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thailand plays catch-up The Bank of Thailand (BoT) raised its policy rate by 25bp to 1.5% today, as expected. The social unrest has inflicted little damage on the economy while inflation is set to rise. Today’s move is not a... 14th July 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Thailand set to hike policy rates The Bank of Thailand (BoT) meets this week and we, like the market, expect that they will move the policy rate up by 25bp to 1.5%. The social unrest in April-May appears to have inflicted little long... 12th July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB to maintain support for banks After leaving interest rates unchanged today, the ECB confirmed that it would continue to support the banking sector with unlimited liquidity provision. And its cautious tone regarding the economic... 8th July 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Malaysia shows its confidence in the upswing Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) raised its policy rate today by 25bp, as we had expected. Today’s move shows that the authorities see the local economic upswing as being sustainable and likely to stay... 8th July 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Case for near-term hike fading Today’s no-change decision confirms that the majority of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) still sees no pressing need to tighten monetary policy. With the biggest fiscal squeeze in decades getting... 8th July 2010 · 1 min read
