19th December 2024 Paul Dales of Capital Economics said that he was now forecasting inflation will be nearly a point above the 2 per cent target early next year. CPI growth was just 1.7 per cent as recently as September. View article
What Keir Starmer’s successors could mean for UK bond yields The rise in yields “would reflect looser fiscal policy leading to higher GDP growth, inflation and [interest rates] than otherwise, as well as a larger fiscal risk premium”, according to Capital... 11th February 2026 · The Times
UK inflation rises to 3.4%, the first increase in five months Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, said: “The later-than-usual budget [on November 26] meant that the rise in tobacco duties were only captured in the ONS’s December survey.” 21st January 2026 · The Times
UK in ‘strong position’ to avoid further tax rises, says Rachel Reeves Paul Dales, at the consultancy Capital Economics, said that since May, the average monthly value of the UK’s goods exports to the US had fallen by £0.75bn, or 13 per cent compared with the year before... 21st January 2026 · Financial Times
