Skip to main content

Evidence mounts of a big second-quarter rebound

There is now a wide mix of evidence showing that, after a very weak start to the year, the economy is booming again. May is turning out to be a particularly strong month: Existing home sales hit a six-year high, motor vehicle sales hit a nine-year high, nearly 300,000 additional jobs were created and underlying retail sales increased by more than 1% m/m. Given the weight of this evidence, it is pretty clear that the first-quarter weakness was largely weather-related and that second-quarter GDP growth will be at least 3% annualised.

Subscriber content

Read this in full, free

Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.


Free. 10 articles. No card required.

By completing this form you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions for the provision of a free trial of Capital Economics' services. We take your privacy seriously and will not share your details with others without your consent. By providing your details, including your email address, you are consenting to Capital Economics sending you macroeconomic commentary and analysis. You can unsubscribe at any time. See our Privacy Policy for more information.