The key elements of Brazil’s President Rousseff’s policy agenda for her second term in office have started to emerge over the past month. The central theme is a return to “orthodoxy”, with fiscal and monetary policy likely to tighten. But while a period of belt-tightening is long overdue, the result will be continued economic weakness over the next year. What’s more, the reforms needed to raise productivity and medium-term growth have been notably absent from recent policy announcements.
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