US Economics Weekly Weaker growth will bear down on inflation soon The economic data this week suggest that slowing activity growth isn’t yet putting downward pressure on core inflation, which is likely to see the Fed remain in hawkish mode at its meeting next week... 16th September 2022 · 5 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly More evidence of stagflation, but no gas price cap yet Figures released this week brought yet more evidence that the euro-zone is heading for recession. But given that underlying inflationary pressures remain strong, we doubt that will stop the ECB from... 16th September 2022 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Stable inflation expectations little comfort for Riksbank Even as Swedish headline inflation surged again in August, with the core rate hitting its highest level since late 1991, the stability of long-term inflation expectations will provide some comfort to... 16th September 2022 · 4 mins read
UK Data Response Retail Sales (Aug.) The weakness in August’s retail sales volumes figures suggests that the downward momentum is gathering speed and supports our view that the economy in already in a recession. But that won’t stop the... 16th September 2022 · 3 mins read
China Data Response China Activity & Spending (Aug.) China’s economy held up slightly better than anticipated last month, but momentum still weakened relative to July amid renewed virus disruptions and factory closures due to power shortages. September... 16th September 2022 · 3 mins read
US Data Response Industrial Production (Aug.) Manufacturing output edged up by 0.1% m/m in August, as notable gains in petroleum & coal, machinery and electronics were partly offset by a drop back in motor vehicles and parts. With global... 15th September 2022 · 3 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Central banks remain in hawkish mode, for now Monetary policy makers across Emerging Asia remain in hawkish mode – every central bank in the region with the exceptions of China and Vietnam has now raised interest rates this year – and further... 15th September 2022 · 15 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Data Response New Zealand GDP (Q2 2022) Despite a large rise in Q2, New Zealand’s GDP remains well below its pre-virus trend and that shortfall will widen as the surge in interest rates weighs on activity. 15th September 2022 · 2 mins read
Global Economics Chart Pack Major economies struggling for different reasons The latest data have revealed that the world’s major economies are all struggling, but for different reasons. In Europe, the energy crisis is largely behind the recent softness in consumer and... 14th September 2022 · 13 mins read
Canada Data Response Manufacturing Sales (July) Although manufacturing sales fell by 0.9% m/m in July, in line with the preliminary estimate, that was a better outcome than we had expected given the more downbeat export data. Furthermore, the... 14th September 2022 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Price pressures to keep central banks in hawkish mood Consumer price inflation has continued to accelerate in Switzerland and across the Nordics, adding to the pressure on central banks to tighten monetary policy more aggressively. In Switzerland... 14th September 2022 · 4 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Energy crisis support won’t avert recessions across CEE Fiscal support to protect households and businesses from sky-high energy prices generally amounts to around 2-3% of GDP across Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). This will cushion, rather than fully... 14th September 2022 · 4 mins read
