Event

Drop-In: The World in 2026 - The global macro and market outlook

10th December 2025, 3:00PM GMT

Will the US economy continue to outperform on the back of the AI boom? How will trade tensions shape global macro outcomes?

Equities Update

What if the AI stock market boom turned to bust?

If the AI stock market boom turned to bust, we suspect the correction would be somewhat smaller but significantly shorter-lived than the one that took place after the dotcom bubble burst.

21st November 2025 · 6 mins read

Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly

MbS’s Washington trip tips the balance in US’s favour

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's visit to the US this week secured security, nuclear, mineral, and AI deals which will pull the Kingdom back from China’s sphere of influence towards the US.

20th November 2025 · 6 mins read

Capital Daily

The AI rally is running on fundamentals, not fumes

Recent earnings reports give cause for optimism about the health of the AI equity market rally, in our view, and we think it has further to run.

20th November 2025 · 4 mins read

Commodities Update

5 key questions about AI and demand for commodities

This Update examines five key questions about AI-related demand for commodities, and the economic consequences of potential future disruptions to their supply.

19th November 2025 · 4 mins read

Equities Update

Why we aren’t worried about US tech valuations

The recent plunge in US tech stocks seems partly due to concern about their valuations which, by some metrics, had looked their most stretched since the “dotcom bubble”. This Update argues that those...

19th November 2025 · 5 mins read

US Economics Focus

AI boosting US economic growth

The AI boom that has been driving the stock market for several years is now clearly evident in economic activity too. In particular, we suspect that AI explains most of the pick-up in ICT sector...

18th November 2025 · 14 mins read

Europe Economics Update

North-south divide emerges in Europe AI usage

It is still early days in the roll-out of AI but the data available at this stage suggest that there is a big variation in its usage between European economies. Firms in the Nordics and Benelux are...

18th November 2025 · 5 mins read

AI and the macro outlook: two questions shaping the debate

Event

Drop-In: AI rally under pressure – The state of the equities market

20th November 2025, 8:00AM GMT

Our Markets economists hosted this online briefing on the state of the equity market and the role that confidence in AI’s promise continues to play in driving it.

Capital Daily

Chinese equities’ relative resilience to the AI nerves

China’s stock market has fared better than many as investor confidence in the AI boom has faltered, despite having benefited from that boom this year. We suspect it would continue to outperform the US...

14th November 2025 · 4 mins read

Global Economics Update

How to think about AI investment

The surge in AI investment has so far been more apparent in company reports of nominal CapEx than in real investment in the wider economy. But the latter impact is growing. And while individual...

12th November 2025 · 11 mins read

Global Economics Focus

Has the AI “jobpocalypse” begun?

The deterioration in the entry-level jobs market has sparked concerns that an “AI jobpocalypse” is upon us. While AI is a contributing factor – especially in some specialised fields like software...

11th November 2025 · 17 mins read

Event

Asia Drop-In: The AI boom, rate calls and market momentum

27th November 2025, 8:00AM GMT

Asia’s factories sit at the heart of the global AI build-out – but who are the real economic winners, and what happens if the bubble bursts?

Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly

UAE keeps up Gulf AI momentum, Qatar-Egypt deal

AI-related investments in the UAE this week add to signs that the US is using access to AI technologies to take the Gulf economies away from China’s sphere of influence. It may also reflect the...

6th November 2025 · 8 mins read