China Economics Update AI-led chip price surge to lift exports Soaring memory chip prices are boosting the value of China’s semiconductor and downstream electronics exports. With growing AI-related chip demand likely to continue to outstrip supply, prices look... 10th April 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Weekly Chinese AI spreading rapidly, both overseas and at home Although Chinese AI models still lag behind their US rivals in raw intelligence, they are nonetheless rapidly gaining global market share by being more cost-effective. And early signs suggest that... 2nd April 2026 · 6 mins read
Global Economics Update Will the Iran war undermine AI investment? The Iran war could take some of the momentum out of the AI investment boom but we doubt that it will fundamentally disrupt the overall build-out. 30th March 2026 · 5 mins read
Global Economics Focus How deeply is AI taking hold in the economy? AI-related spending is giving a significant boost to aggregate demand and GDP growth in some countries. The biggest beneficiaries so far are the US, where the bulk of the spending is occurring, and... 20th March 2026 · 29 mins read
Capital Daily Three reasons to be positive on the S&P 500 Strong profit growth, as emphasised by recent earnings reports, is one reason to think that the S&P 500 will do well over the rest of this year. In fact, we think there are at least three reasons. 26th February 2026 · 4 mins read
Event Europe Drop-In: Are we too bearish on the euro-zone outlook? 26th February 2026, 3:00PM GMT Signs of life in the euro-zone economy have sparked hopes that a meaningful recovery may finally be underway. But our growth forecasts for this year and next remain below consensus.
Asia Economics Weekly Bank of Thailand to cut again, Asia and the AI boom We will be holding an online briefing on Wednesday to discuss the region’s long-term economic outlook out until 2050. You can register by clicking here. We expect the Bank of Thailand to cut rates at... 20th February 2026 · 6 mins read
India Economics Weekly India’s AI summit meets the “AI scare trade” The optics of this week's AI Impact Summit in New Delhi were powerful, but the timing was awkward. India’s business consulting and software firms have been major casualties in the global equity sell... 20th February 2026 · 5 mins read
US Economics Update Will the AI buildout be inflationary or disinflationary? The evidence so far shows that the inflationary effects of stronger demand from the AI buildout remain narrow, whereas the disinflationary effects of stronger productivity growth already appear to be... 19th February 2026 · 5 mins read
Europe Economics Update Switzerland to lead Europe on AI While we think it will take several years before AI has a meaningful impact on Europe’s economies, Switzerland may be an exception. There is already some evidence of a positive boost from AI. And we... 19th February 2026 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly US-Iran, Kuwait’s budget, Saudi inflation, AI in the Gulf Unless Iran makes major concessions to reach a new nuclear deal with the US, the threat of US military intervention will rise - particularly given the build-up of forces in the region. Elsewhere... 19th February 2026 · 6 mins read
Long Run Economic Outlook US and Asia to lead the AI decade Global growth will slow in the long run as population growth weakens and the scope for emerging market catch-up narrows, but there will be bright spots. We are increasingly confident that advances in... 18th February 2026 · 1 hr, 9 mins read
Equities Update AI vs dotcom: EM equities may hold up better this time While the recent underperformance of US tech stocks relative to Emerging Markets (EMs) echoes the eve of the dotcom bust, we think the AI rally still has a bit further to run. That said, if the AI... 18th February 2026 · 5 mins read
Global Economics Focus US still tops AI index, but China surges up the rankings We have updated our proprietary AI Economic Impact Index, which ranks major economies according to their ability to realise the long-run benefits of AI. The US still leads. The Asian tigers and UK... 17th February 2026 · 16 mins read
Equities Focus Why we still believe in the AI rally, and the S&P 500 We think the tech-led rally in the S&P 500 will resume, and that 2026 will be a good year for the index despite its rocky start and the many threats facing it. This Equities Focus explains why. 10th February 2026 · 17 mins read
