China Economics Weekly US-China AI competition continues to heat up This week’s reversal of US export controls on Anthropic’s most powerful AI models appears to have been partly motivated by the recent release of GLM-5.2, a highly competitive alternative that is... 3rd July 2026 · 6 mins read
Capital Daily Expect more sell-offs even as the AI bubble inflates further The tech sell-off doesn’t necessarily herald the imminent end of the AI bubble. Indeed, volatility could pick up quite a bit more, perhaps resulting in further sharp (but short-lived) drawdowns even... 3rd July 2026 · 3 mins read
Global Economics Focus AI – your questions answered This Focus answers some of the key questions clients have been asking us recently about the economic implications of AI, from the sustainability of the investment boom to when and where productivity... 2nd July 2026 · 23 mins read
Equities Focus What could burst the “bubble” in AI earnings expectations? AI-related equity markets may be approaching a point where earnings expectations and capital expenditure assumptions become difficult to sustain. A correction in these expectations could trigger a... 1st July 2026 · 13 mins read
Event Asia Drop-In: The AI boom, El Niño risks and the growth and policy outlook 1st July 2026, 9:00AM BST Asian economies should enjoy strong growth over the next year or so, supported by robust demand for AI-related products and lower energy prices.
Event Drop-In: Global Markets Outlook – The AI equity boom reaching its final innings 2nd July 2026, 9:00AM BST How long can the AI roll-out continue to drive equities? What will diverging central bank policy paths mean for bond yields? And can the dollar remain strong through the second half of 2026?
US Economic Outlook AI boom to power growth and keep core inflation firm The economy is in the middle of an AI-related capex boom and, with some of the prior policy-related headwinds now fading, we expect average annual GDP growth to pick-up to an above-consensus 2.5% next... 25th June 2026 · 17 mins read
Global Economics Update AI buildout to continue boosting world trade Exports of AI goods now make up a third of growth in overall global exports and they are likely to remain a key driver of trade into 2027. Meanwhile, the move from Section 122 to Section 301 tariffs... 23rd June 2026 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Data centres to perform well, but risks are growing New MSCI coverage of data centres in the UK and US not surprisingly show the sector strongly outperformed over the past decade. But while returns are still strong in the US, in the UK the sector is... 18th June 2026 · 4 mins read
Event Drop-In: AI's global shockwaves – Macro and market implications 7th July 2026, 9:00AM BST Even as optimism builds around AI’s transformative potential, uncertainty about its economic impact is intensifying, from the pace of adoption and distribution of gains to the risks of disruption.
Event Drop-In: AI's global shockwaves – Macro and market implications 7th July 2026, 3:00PM BST Even as optimism builds around AI’s transformative potential, uncertainty about its economic impact is intensifying, from the pace of adoption and distribution of gains to the risks of disruption.
Global Economics Focus AI’s global economic shockwaves AI’s effects so far primarily reflect a boost to demand from infrastructure spending. A supply-side improvement from efficiency gains will come, but we continue to expect these to arrive gradually in... 16th June 2026 · 14 mins read
US Economics Update Have AI effects shifted to boosting US employment? It is hard to accurately gauge the extent to which the adoption of AI is affecting payrolls, but the recent improvement in jobs growth in those industries most exposed to AI suggests any negative... 9th June 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea’s booming chip exports mask vulnerabilities Korea’s economy is riding an extraordinary wave of global demand for its AI-related exports and, despite the drag from higher energy prices, we have raised our growth forecasts for this year. But the... 4th June 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily Good times still on the way for China’s equities We still think China’s equities will benefit from the AI boom and fare well over the rest of the year, but their poor profitability is a growing challenge. 3rd June 2026 · 4 mins read
China Economics Weekly Iran war and AI boom lift industrial profits Growth in China’s industrial profits accelerated in April, with firms benefitting from higher output prices while mitigating the impact of higher input costs by tapping inventories. The sectors that... 29th May 2026 · 5 mins read
