Emerging Markets Economics Update Emerging Markets Capital Flows Monitor (Oct.) Our Tracker shows that total capital outflows from the emerging world declined a little last month, and were barely a third of the size seen earlier in the year. The sell-off in EM financial markets... 11th November 2016 · 1 min read
China Data Response Hong Kong GDP (Q3) Hong Kong’s economy is currently growing close to trend, despite continued subdued growth in exports. The overheated property market remains the major concern, with the recent rebound in prices after... 11th November 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Asia Economics Focus Household debt mountain to weigh on Asian consumers A surge in household borrowing has provided a key support to economic growth across large parts of Emerging Asia over the past few years. Worst case scenarios of a financial crisis are unlikely to... 3rd November 2016 · 1 min read
Metals Data Response China and India’s gold imports (Sep.) The latest import data out of China and India show that demand for gold in the two countries improved in September. We expect buying to have accelerated in October as consumers take advantage of... 27th October 2016 · 1 min read
China Chart Pack Mortgage surge not the key driver of stronger credit Growth in long-term loans to households, which consist mostly of mortgages, has jumped since early 2015 as the property market has heated up. In contrast, growth in other loans has slowed over the... 23rd September 2016 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Downturn in Hong Kong property market still has further to run Data released today show home prices in Hong Kong rising for a fourth straight month in July, raising hopes that the city’s property market correction may be over. But with interest rates set to rise... 31st August 2016 · 1 min read
China Chart Pack G20 blues lie ahead Residents of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) can look forward to unusually clear skies as restrictions on industry to limit pollution ahead of next month’s G20 summit come into effect. According to... 17th August 2016 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Slow take-up to limit impact of Shenzhen-HK Connect Today’s approval of a link between stock markets in Hong Kong and Shenzhen may boost market sentiment and is a welcome signal that policymakers are keen to press on with financial reform as concerns... 16th August 2016 · 1 min read
China Data Response Hong Kong GDP (Q2) Today’s GDP figures show that Hong Kong’s economy rebounded strongly in the second quarter. However, the economy faces a number of headwinds and we expect growth to slow again in the coming quarters... 12th August 2016 · 1 min read
China Chart Pack No signs of major stress in labour market Recent data from China’s labour market corroborate evidence elsewhere that the economy has slowed since the start of 2015 but that it has avoided the collapse that many had feared. Migrant wage growth... 20th July 2016 · 1 min read
Metals Data Response China and India’s gold imports (May) China’s gold imports rebounded strongly in May, after a weak start to the year. While premiums in the local market have recently turned negative, Brexit fears could spur a fresh wave of safe-haven... 27th June 2016 · 1 min read
China Chart Pack China would shrug off a Brexit vote A vote by the UK to leave the EU on Thursday is unlikely to have much impact on China. The economic and financial linkages between the UK and China are small, at least as far as China is concerned. In... 17th June 2016 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Wealth effect weighs on Hong Kong consumption Private consumption growth in Hong Kong is at the weakest since 2009, even though the labour market is tight and real wages are growing strongly. The downturn in the city’s housing market and a slump... 15th June 2016 · 1 min read
China Chart Pack April data not all gloomy China’s April data have been met with downbeat headlines. This is not surprising given that growth in almost all the key economic indicators slowed last month. But the comparison between April and... 18th May 2016 · 1 min read
China Data Response Hong Kong GDP (Q1) Hong Kong’s economy contracted in Q1, with output dragged down by falls in exports and household spending. We don’t expect a major rebound in the quarters ahead as interest rates rise further and the... 13th May 2016 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Has property finally turned the corner? A recovery in China’s property market appears to be giving a lift to economic growth. This should continue for a few quarters. But the turnaround does not signal that the drawn-out correction in China... 28th April 2016 · 1 min read