Emerging Europe Data Response Economic Sentiment Indicators (Sep.) The widespread rises in this month’s Economic Sentiment Indicators (ESIs) in Central and Eastern Europe should help to ease concerns about the region’s economic health following a run of weak hard... 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Are investors underestimating EM credit risks? Both the BIS’s latest report and our own risk indicator continue to highlight high levels of debt as a key risk in China, but we think investors are right to judge that the threat of a credit event in... 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Turkish downgrade highlights deteriorating investor outlook The decision by Moody’s to downgrade Turkey’s credit rating to non-investment grade comes at a time when investment in Turkish commercial property is struggling. Given a worsening economic and... 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update South Africa: Q2 rebound not a sign of things to come After contracting sharply in Q1, South Africa’s economy has bounced back faster than many – including ourselves – had suspected. Growth will probably pick up a bit next year, but we suspect that South... 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Vietnam GDP (Q3) The weakness in Vietnam’s economy so far this year has been down to the agriculturesector, which has been hit hard by a drought. But with weather patterns nowreturning to normal, growth should rebound... 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Retail Sales (Aug.) Even though retail sales values dropped in August, the data suggest that consumer spending rebounded in the third quarter. 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack The envy of the advanced world The growth rates enjoyed by Australia and New Zealand in the second quarter continue to be the envy of most advanced nations. The 3.3% and 3.6% respective rises in GDP over the last year were much... 29th September 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report (28th Sep. 16) US crude oil stocks fell last week as net imports and domestic production fell. However, gasoline stocks rose – despite lower refinery output – as demand weakened. 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Deutsche Bank’s troubles unlikely to spark wider crisis Today’s relatively positive news about Deutsche Bank adds to the evidence that it is not the next Lehman Brothers for the global financial system and that its troubles are unlikely to trigger a German... 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
Capital Daily OPEC is not the key to unlocking sustainably higher oil prices 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update How big are the risks for Edinburgh and Glasgow offices? With employment growth set to slow, the rental outlook in the main Scottish office markets is muted. Encouragingly, however, office property pricing in Edinburgh and Glasgow is considerably less... 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Mexican peso in the spotlight The sharp drop in the Mexican peso against the dollar this month, driven partly by Donald Trump’s surge in the US election polls, has increased the chances of an interest rate hike at Thursday’s MPC... 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
US Data Response Durable Goods (Aug. 16) Although durable goods orders were unchanged in August, the details of the report were weak. It now appears that equipment investment contracted in the third quarter, which means the risks to our... 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
Africa Chart Pack Is Africa’s economic downturn finally bottoming out? The latest GDP figures all support our view that economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa as a whole will be even worse in 2016 than it was in 2015, when it hit a 16-year low. The key question now is... 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Duterte’s antics hits sentiment in the Philippines Financial markets in the Philippines have fallen in September amid growing concern over the increasingly erratic behaviour of the country’s new president, Rodrigo Duterte. 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update How much of a concern are Russia’s public finances? The fall in oil prices has caused a considerable deterioration in Russia’s budget position, forcing the government to dip into its oil reserves. In this Update, we answer six key questions on the... 28th September 2016 · 1 min read
