Europe Commercial Property Update Are Stockholm retail rents poised to take-off again? Retail rental values in Stockholm ended 2013 strongly, rising by 2%q/q in Q4. This pushed the annual rate of rental growth above 2% for the first time since mid-2012. We expect rental growth to... 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update South African bond market unconvinced by budget South Africa’s Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan announced new projections for smaller fiscal deficits over the coming years in today’s budget statement, but we think that these are unlikely to be met... 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Fiscal Monitor (Feb 14.) The smaller euro-zone peripheral economies made good fiscal progress last year, but the adjustment process is by no means over yet. Italy and Spain fared less well. As a result, this year, they may... 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Danish mortgage market set to weather regulatory storm Denmark’s mortgage-bond market, the third largest covered bond market in the world, looks set to avoid a painful regulatory overhaul that might have weighed on the country’s recovery. 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Political upheaval in Thailand to weigh on rice prices The potential end of the controversial support scheme for rice farmers in Thailand this week should add to the downward pressure on rice prices over the next few years. In particular, how the... 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update How much financial support does Ukraine need? As Ukraine’s political transition progresses, attention has turned to the urgent need for external assistance in order to avoid a balance of payments crisis and possibly even a default on its external... 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Some calm returns after January’s exodus In January, net selling of emerging market securities by global ETFs and mutual funds was larger than in any month since last June according to EPFR Global. But timelier daily data from six stock... 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
UK Data Response GDP: Second Estimate & Expenditure Breakdown (Q4 13) The second estimate of Q4 GDP provided further reassurance that the economic recovery is becoming better balanced and is therefore set to last. 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Industrial data point to diverging growth paths Industry in the highly-open economies of Central Europe has gathered steam in recent months, with output expanding by as much as 6-7% y/y. Manufacturers have been supported by the strengthening of the... 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Hong Kong set for gradual recovery Hong Kong’s economy grew at its fastest pace in a year in the last quarter of 2013, thanks mainly to a continued recovery in exports. Looking ahead, with the territory’s prospects largely dependent on... 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Danish mortgage market set to weather regulatory storm Denmark’s mortgage-bond market, the third largest covered bond market in the world, looks set to avoid a painful regulatory overhaul that might have weighed on the country’s recovery. 26th February 2014 · 1 min read
US Data Response Conf. Board Consumer Confidence (Feb.) The drop in the Conference Board consumer confidence index to 78.1 in February, from 79.4, was probably weather-related, with a massive storm hitting the eastern seaboard during the sample period. Now... 25th February 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update It’s the institutions, stupid The eruption of anti-government protests in several emerging economies over the past month has led many investors to add “political risk” to the lengthening list of reasons to be cautious on EMs. But... 25th February 2014 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Case-Shiller Home Prices (Q4) House prices rose by a strong 11.4% during 2013 as a whole. However, prices are a lagging indicator of the health of the housing market. The more recent weakness of home sales will weigh on price... 25th February 2014 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update MENA equities continue to soar Equity markets in the MENA region have continued to perform strongly over the past month. Dubai remains the star performer, while recent political developments have buoyed stock markets in Egypt and... 25th February 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Interest rates to stay lower than consensus expects Asian central banks have, for the most part, left interest rates on hold recently, with India the only major central bank in the region to adjust monetary policy over the past month. India raised... 25th February 2014 · 1 min read
