US Data Response Industrial Production (Aug.) The fall in industrial production in August was just due to problems seasonally adjusting autos production and is therefore not a sign that the recovery is running out of steam. The more upbeat survey... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Vote of confidence to offer limited hope for France The French Government looks set to win a vote of confidence tomorrow, allowing it to pursue long-overdue business friendly reforms. But it could take many years for the reforms to bear fruit and... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What impact will a weak Finnish economy have on Helsinki office rents? Despite weak economic and employment growth, prime office rents in Helsinki should rise a little further in the next couple of years. Further ahead, however, centrally-located office markets may then... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Argentine peso has further to fall The Argentine government has introduced various measures in recent weeks to increase the availability of foreign currency in a bid to stem the depreciation of the peso in both official and unofficial... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Trade (Jul.) July’s euro-zone trade data showed that the region’s exporters continued to struggle,suggesting that the uncertain international environment was taking its toll andoffsetting the benefits of a weaker... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update President al-Sisi’s first 100 days better than expected In his first 100 days in office, Egypt’s President al- Sisi has made more progress in tackling the country’s economic problems than many, including ourselves, had expected. In particular, his... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Healthy labour market keeping policymakers calm Premier Li Keqiang’s comments last week prioritising reform over stimulus have taken on added significance in the light of the weekend’s weak activity data. Policymakers are aware that efforts to... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Sweden’s return to the left won’t banish stagnation fears Sweden’s general election yesterday resulted in defeat for the centre-right coalition Alliance Government after two terms in power but produced no overall majority for the centre-left opposition... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Higher capacity utilisation rate overstates economic conditions In his first 100 days in office, Egypt’s President al- Sisi has made more progress in tackling the country’s economic problems than many, including ourselves, had expected. In particular, his... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response Teranet-National Bank House Prices (Aug.) The Teranet-National Bank national composite house price index showed that house price inflation rose to 5.0% in August, up slightly from 4.9% in July. Nevertheless, the sales-to-listings ratio... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Consensus still too sanguine on timing of first US rate hike 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly Will sterling take the low road? While the recent fall in the pound against the US dollar has been put down to the heighteneduncertainty over the Scottish referendum result, most of the drop has actually been driven by a shiftin... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
US Economics Weekly Rising dollar reflects economic strength Even a further rise in the dollar above its current four-year high won’t prevent a period of higher inflation and stronger GDP growth. It would be odd to conclude that the dollar will significantly... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
Commodities Update The dollar is not the only driver of metals’ prices Unusually, both base and precious metals prices have fallen this week. The common factor appears tobe the strength of the dollar and the prospect of imminent US monetary tightening. In our view, this... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Limited room for growth-friendly fiscal policies While signs of pragmatism have recently emerged in the ongoing fiscal debate in the euro-zone, we think there is currently little room for fiscal policy to play much of a role in tackling low growth... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
US Data Response Retail Sales (Aug.) The solid rise in retail sales in August, together with the upward revision in July, suggests that annualised real consumption growth in the third quarter as a whole will come in between 1.5% and 2.0%... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
