Latin America Data Response Mexico IGAE (May) Mexico’s IGAE Activity Indicator for May was weak and suggests that economic growth is on course to slow to a sluggish 2.0% y/y in Q2, from 2.5% y/y in Q1. Nevertheless, we expect the economy to... 24th July 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Bi-Weekly Consumer Prices (Jul.) The continued decline in inflation in Mexico in the first half of this month should further dispel fears that a weaker currency will have any meaningful impact on the headline rate. With inflation... 23rd July 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Mexico: the costs and benefits of a weaker peso The drop in the peso to a record low against the dollar in recent weeks has rekindled concerns about what impact this will have on Mexico’s economy. In practice, however, the economics of currency... 20th July 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Mexico oil auctions: what to look for and what they mean Mexico’s government will tomorrow auction rights to private companies to exploit oil reserves in the Gulf of Mexico – a move that marks the first step in opening up the country’s energy sector to... 14th July 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Industrial Production (May) The fall in Mexican industrial production in May was disappointing and almost certainly suggests that economic growth in Q2 will be even weaker than Q1’s lacklustre performance. That means the risks... 10th July 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Consumer Prices (Jun.) June’s inflation data from Mexico contain no signs that a weaker peso is fuelling price pressures. With inflation still below target, policymakers have room to keep interest rates low even if the Fed... 9th July 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Mexico IGAE (Apr.) & Bi-Weekly CPI (Jun.) Activity data from Mexico for April suggest that, after a weak Q1, the economy has continued to struggle at the start of Q2. In better news, inflation data to the middle of the month, also released... 24th June 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Industrial Production (Apr.) The slowdown in annual industrial production growth in Mexico in April was due overwhelmingly to a renewed downturn in the mining sector. In contrast, there are tentative signs that the manufacturing... 11th June 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Consumer Prices (May) If there were any lingering concerns that the weaker peso might trigger a rise in inflation in Mexico, the fact that CPI fell to below its 3% target last month should quash them. This supports our... 9th June 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Mexico elections: a glass half-full Elections in Mexico on Sunday delivered a broadly market-positive result, with the coalition led by the ruling PRI Party retaining its majority in Congress. But while this should ensure that Mexico... 8th June 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Brazil & Mexico Manufacturing PMI (May) May’s manufacturing PMIs from Latin America make for pretty gloomy reading, with the headline indices in both Brazil and Mexico edging down. It’s worth noting that neither series has been a... 1st June 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Markets in Brazil and Colombia suffer fresh falls Following a brief recovery last month, Brazilian and Colombian financial markets have sold off in recent weeks, with both equities and currencies coming under pressure. But elsewhere in Latin America... 27th May 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Mexico GDP (Q1) The slowdown in Mexican GDP growth in the first quarter of this year was due almost entirely to weakness in industry, which has been affected by problems in the mining sector as well as softer growth... 21st May 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update A closer look at Mexico’s mining downturn First quarter GDP data from Mexico, due to be released tomorrow, are likely to show that the economy made a sluggish start to the year, due in large part to continued weakness in the mining sector... 20th May 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Recovery stalls as Brazil suffers renewed downturn The recovery that appeared to be underway in Latin America at the end of last year has faded in recent months, with several of the region’s economies experiencing renewed downturns. The latest... 13th May 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Industrial Production (Mar.) Industrial production data for March were a bit softer than expected and suggest that Mexico’s economy grew by a disappointing 0.3% q/q or so in the first quarter. There are some signs that weather... 12th May 2015 · 1 min read
