India Chart Pack India Chart Pack (November 2025) After a very strong run, India’s economy faces a more challenging few quarters in the face of punitive US tariffs. But hopes are growing again that these could be reduced. And in any case, domestic... 26th November 2025 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBNZ done cutting, but no hikes before H2 2027 In line with our long-held forecast, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut rates to 2.25% at its meeting today and signalled that its easing cycle has now come to an end. As the recovery gains traction... 26th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Consumer Prices (Oct. 2025) With inflationary pressures continuing to strengthen at the start of the quarter, there is little chance that rate cuts will be on the RBA’s agenda anytime soon. 26th November 2025 · 2 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Default risks easing, but simmering fiscal problems in some EMs The incidence of sovereign debt distress has declined sharply across the EM world and is now back to pre-pandemic levels. But our EM Financial Risk Indicators suggest that several countries are still... 25th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Asia Chart Pack (November 2025) Our Asia Chart Pack has been updated with our latest forecasts and calls to reflect key developments across the region. We are holding an online event this Thursday examining what Artificial... 25th November 2025 · 0 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Russia & China: a “no limits” partnership with limits Russia and China declared a “no limits” partnership in 2022, but the economic limits to the relationship have become increasingly clear. Chinese FDI in Russia remains low, bilateral trade is... 25th November 2025 · 19 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update New Zealand: weak population growth holding back recovery The tighter labour market in Australia will continue to encourage large numbers of New Zealanders to move to Australia, holding back the recovery in the housing market and consumer spending. While... 25th November 2025 · 4 mins read
Capital Daily What to make of the AI and fiscal concerns roiling markets Equity markets remain under pressure even after positive news on both AI demand and the US labour market. A renewed sell-off in Japan’s bond market isn’t helping matters. Meanwhile, we think the UK... 24th November 2025 · 6 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly BI independence concerns resurface, Philippines corruption The invitation extended to Indonesia’s finance minister this week to attend monetary policy meetings is not unheard of among global central banks, but the move will reinforce concerns that BI’s... 21st November 2025 · 6 mins read
India Economics Weekly October’s record trade deficit not a sign of things to come India’s trade deficit widened to its largest on record in October, fuelling fresh concerns about the rupee which is hovering near all-time lows against the US dollar. But the surge in gold imports is... 21st November 2025 · 4 mins read
China Economics Weekly Property stimulus plans, Japanification of the bond market Policymakers are mulling a new property stimulus package, including mortgage subsidies for new homebuyers. But this is unlikely to revive demand, as most households remain reluctant to buy in a... 21st November 2025 · 4 mins read
Japan Economics Update Looser fiscal policy adds to case for BoJ tightening The large supplementary budget announced today includes generous energy subsidies that will push inflation below 2% early next year. However, by boosting underlying price pressures, looser fiscal... 21st November 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Inflationary pressures will abate before long The Reserve Bank of Australia continues to equivocate about the outlook for interest rates, given uncertainty over the extent of spare capacity in the economy. However, with wage pressures showing... 21st November 2025 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly 10-year JGB yield will reach 2% next year The government indicated this week that it will loosen fiscal policy by around 1% of GDP in the upcoming supplementary budget. Coupled with PM Takaichi giving BoJ Governor Ueda a free hand on when to... 21st November 2025 · 5 mins read
