Europe Economics Weekly ECB still tiptoeing around QE While last week’s cuts in interest rates and details of asset purchase programmes were a welcomesurprise, we still believe that the ECB will eventually have to stop tiptoeing around and take theplunge... 5th September 2014 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly GDP overhaul merely tweaks the big picture Last week’s revised GDP estimates were seemingly all things to all men, supporting political parties’ views and every economist’s forecasts for interest rates and fiscal policy. In reality, the new... 5th September 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Fed tightening and EM vulnerabilities: a stock-take A handful of EMs – mainly in Asia – have taken steps to reduce their external vulnerabilities in the wake of last year’s “Taper Tantrum”. But these countries are the exception rather than the rule... 5th September 2014 · 1 min read
Global Economics Chart Pack Gulf between US and euro-zone widens The US and euro-zone economies have diverged further in the past few months, as growth in the single currency area has stalled but the US recovery has stepped up a gear. Moreover, the gap between the... 5th September 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Property price bubbles a key risk There are signs property prices are coming off the boil in Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore. That said, prices in these three economies still look significantly overvalued, and a slump in prices... 5th September 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Emerging Europe Economic Outlook The recovery in Emerging Europe has fizzled out in recent months and we think growth will be sluggish over the coming quarters. The crisis in Ukraine presents one headwind, particularly for Russia... 5th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB still inching towards QE The additional policy measures announced by the European Central Bank (ECB) today are unlikely totransform the euro-zone’s economic outlook on their own and therefore look like another step alongthe... 4th September 2014 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update MPC hawks likely to remain in a minority this year The recent weakness of inflation and wages alongside the cooling of the housing market suggests that the number of MPC members voting to keep interest rates on hold at today’s meeting is unlikely to... 4th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Swedish Riksbank still fighting deflationary threat Sweden’s central bank today left its main policy rate on hold at 0.25% and reiterated that interest rates would not start to rise until late 2015 as it continues its fight to stave off deflation. But... 4th September 2014 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Imminent easing by BoJ unlikely The BOJ left policy settings unchanged at today’s meeting, and provided no indications of imminent easing despite the recent weakness in the economy. However, inflation is likely to fall short of the... 4th September 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Brazil Central Bank signals Selic on hold for time being The Central Bank of Brazil kept interest rates on hold at 11% last night and the accompanying statement gave a strong signal that rates are likely to be left unchanged over the coming months. We don’t... 4th September 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Swedish Riksbank still fighting deflationary threat Sweden’s central bank today left its main policy rate on hold at 0.25% and reiterated that interestrates would not start to rise until late 2015 as it continues its fight to stave off deflation. But... 4th September 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Swedish Riksbank still fighting deflationary threat Sweden’s central bank today left its main policy rate on hold at 0.25% and reiterated that interestrates would not start to rise until late 2015 as it continues its fight to stave off deflation. But... 4th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Chart Pack Deflation threat raises pressure on the ECB August’s fall in euro-zone HICP inflation from 0.4% to 0.3% left it at its lowest rate sinceOctober 2009, when it was negative, and well beneath the ECB’s target of “below, but closeto, 2%”. What’s... 3rd September 2014 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Update Bank of Canada rightly remains neutral on rates The Bank of Canada's neutral policy statement on the rate outlook showed that it isn't concerned about the recent uptick in inflation, since this is due to temporary factors rather than any... 3rd September 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Polish MPC signals rate cuts The Polish MPC made it pretty clear at today’s post-meeting press conference that subdued growth and extremely low inflation mean that interest rates will be lowered over the coming months. For now... 3rd September 2014 · 1 min read
