BoE Watch Will insurance hikes spiral into higher rates for longer? The Bank of England will almost certainly raise interest rates from 3.75% to 4.00% at its meeting on Thursday 5th November and may lay the ground for a rise to 4.25% shortly after. We don’t think this... 29th October 2026 · 8 mins read
Asia Economics Update Is Bank Indonesia the new CBRT? Bank Indonesia’s apparent struggle to trade off the need to shore up the rupiah and support the economy (perhaps under political pressure) bears some similarities with Turkey’s experience over much of... 29th October 2026 · 3 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Oct. 2026) Our China Activity Proxy suggests that growth weakened further in Q3, in contrast to official figures which showed growth picking up. Exports continued to outperform on the back of strong AI and green... 29th October 2026 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (October 2026) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Underlying inflation in Australia gained traction in Q3, while leading indicators suggest that it will... 29th October 2026 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Tech’s growing vulnerability to rising yields Tech companies’ spending boom has arguably made them more vulnerable to borrowing costs, and they won’t get much relief from the Fed if the recent meeting is anything to go by. Our base case remains... 29th October 2026 · 4 mins read
US Economics Update Warsh reforms to enter a new phase next year While today’s decision by the FOMC to leave interest rates unchanged was accompanied by two hawkish dissents, this was not a huge surprise, only confirming our strong suspicion ahead of the meeting... 28th October 2026 · 3 mins read
US Rapid Response US Fed Policy Announcement (Oct. 2026) Officials urged a gradualist approach to tightening during the inter-meeting period, and this was reflected in today’s decision to leave the fed funds target range unchanged at 3.75%-4.00%. That said... 28th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Update Bank of Canada embarks on a cautious hiking cycle The conservative messaging surrounding the Bank of Canada’s decision to raise the policy rate supports our view that investors are being overly presumptuous in expecting three further hikes. We still... 28th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Bank of Canada Policy Announcement (Oct. 2026) The Bank of Canada’s decision to raise the policy rate shows the balance of risks has now tipped towards the threat of energy-driven inflation over the downside risks from trade tensions. The Bank... 28th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Israel’s election points to political limbo The results so far from Israel’s election point to a range of possibilities for the next government although, irrespective of who is in power, it looks like the coalition will be fragile. We don’t... 28th October 2026 · 4 mins read
RBA Watch Hawkish RBA will hike again for good measure With inflationary pressures unrelenting, the RBA will lift its cash rate by 25bp to an 18-year high of 4.85% at its November meeting. That hike will put policy settings well and truly into restrictive... 28th October 2026 · 8 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBNZ still on course to tighten a bit further The RBNZ’s decision to leave rates on hold today was finely balanced and the Committee signalled that further tightening remained likely. That said, the Bank’s cautious approach supports our view that... 28th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response RBNZ Meeting (Oct. 2026) While the RBNZ surprised with a hold at its meeting today, it continued to signal that further tightening was in the pipeline. 28th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Consumer Prices (Q3/Sept. 2026) With underlying price pressures gaining traction, it looks increasingly likely that the RBA will put its foot on the brakes sooner rather than later. 28th October 2026 · 2 mins read
