US Economics Weekly AI trade is driving interest rate expectations Despite this week’s largely as-expected Fed October policy meeting and data showing strong GDP growth and persistent inflationary pressures, investors have pared back interest rate expectations as the... 30th October 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Update PBOC’s policy shift doesn’t signal monetary easing The PBOC’s shift to an overnight policy rate target will give the central bank better control over short-term funding costs and marks another step towards a more conventional operating framework. But... 30th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Can the economy really withstand higher rates? With its hike this week, the Bank of Canada judges the economy to be able to withstand tighter monetary policy, allowing it to prioritise the upside risks to inflation. However, with GDP growth... 30th October 2026 · 5 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Indirect effects of energy prices still modest National inflation data published today suggest that the euro-zone inflation rate will have risen to 4.0% in October and there is growing evidence that higher energy prices are pushing up inflation... 30th October 2026 · 7 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly Lula’s comeback, Chile’s hawks Lula’s shock election victory led to dramatic market moves and he has done little since to reassure investors. Our working assumption is that he will adopt a more conservative fiscal stance in 2027... 30th October 2026 · 5 mins read
UK Economics Weekly Interest rate hikes and the two-speed economy The impending interest rate hikes from the Bank of England may exacerbate the two-speed economy by weighing on consumer spending by more than business investment. So over the next year or so, the... 30th October 2026 · 4 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Weekly Political deadlock in Israel, CEE tightening in focus Israel’s election this week delivered no clear winner. While political uncertainty won’t have much bearing on the country’s security strategy or near-term economic outlook, it makes it less likely... 30th October 2026 · 5 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Czech & Hungary GDP (Q3) & Poland CPI (Oct.) The preliminary Q3 GDP figures out of Czechia and Hungary were on the disappointing side, although we expect growth in both economies to accelerate in the coming quarters. The Czech figure still... 30th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Japan Economics Update BoJ will resume tightening cycle in December The Bank of Japan delivered no surprises when it kept its policy rate unchanged today and declared victory in its quest to lift inflation towards its 2% target. We expect the next rate hike to come in... 30th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Restrictive policy will bring inflation to heel With Australia's inflation problem proving stubborn, we expect the RBA to hike again next week. Core market services inflation has accelerated, while rising import costs for electronics threaten to... 30th October 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Weekly A worrying shift in corporate loan demand On the surface, bank loans to corporates are still growing at a healthy clip, with weaker lending for property development and infrastructure largely offset by stronger lending elsewhere. But a... 30th October 2026 · 6 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Bank of Japan Meeting (October 26) The Bank of Japan delivered no surprises when it kept its policy rate unchanged today and declared victory in the fight against deflation. We expect the next rate to come in December, with rates... 30th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global Economics Chart Pack (October 2026) The world economy remains resilient, with business surveys suggesting that growth has accelerated in recent months. World trade is expanding strongly, helped by the AI buildout, while consumption has... 29th October 2026 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Chart Pack Middle East and North Africa Chart Pack (October '26) A decisive end to the Iran war is still far away and, as a result, the economic recovery in the Gulf will be slow and bumpy. Our base case is that a sustained return to pre-war energy exports won’t... 29th October 2026 · 0 mins read
Europe Economics Update ECB likely to hike just once more While the ECB’s decision to leave rates unchanged was expected, the policy statement and President Lagarde’s remarks suggest to us that the Bank is becoming more confident that underlying inflation is... 29th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Interest Rate Announcement (Oct. 2026) 29th October 2026 · 2 mins read
