DM Markets Chart Pack Some new market forecasts We have revised some of our key market forecasts for currencies, bonds and equities, partly because we no longer expect the FOMC to raise its target range for the federal funds rate again this year. 15th September 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Weekly Yen caught between Kim Jong-un and US Fed With long-term interest rates at home anchored by the Bank of Japan, the key determinants of the value of the yen are both outside Japanese policymakers’ control: geopolitics and the actions of the US... 15th September 2017 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Near-term downside risks to dollar declining The recent rise of the Australian dollar to US$0.80 and developments overseas have led us to revise up our end-year forecast from US$0.70 to US$0.75. But we still believe that a fall in iron ore... 15th September 2017 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Update Canadian dollar likely to tumble next year The Bank of Canada’s unexpectedly aggressive monetary tightening this year, which stands in stark contrast to the Fed’s over-cautious approach, largely explains the surge in the Canadian dollar this... 14th September 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Chart Pack Taper without the tantrum While the Bank of Japan didn’t reduce the pace of its bond purchases any further in August, they are much lower now than they were when Yield Curve Control was launched. Nonetheless, bond yields have... 14th September 2017 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Chart Pack EM recovery continues at the start of Q3 The latest activity data from EMs suggest that the economic recovery continued at the start of Q3. Consumer spending has continued to pick up across most regions, while both industrial production and... 13th September 2017 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Some revisions to our key market forecasts We have revised some of our key market forecasts for currencies, bonds and equities, partly because we no longer expect the FOMC to raise its target range for the federal funds rate again this year. 13th September 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Will tougher sanctions on North Korea work? The United Nations has agreed a new set of sanctions on North Korea, which while falling short of what was originally demanded by the US, constitute the strongest sanctions ever imposed on the country... 12th September 2017 · 1 min read
China Economics Update PBOC hoping for exchange rate uncertainty, not weakness We don’t believe that officials at the People’s Bank are so acutely sensitive to the level of the exchange rate that they are now worried about renminbi strength – it has barely moved in trade... 11th September 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Would the yen remain a safe haven during a Korean War? The experience of the last couple of weeks suggests that gold might be the better safe haven choice if war were to break out on the Korean peninsula. Nonetheless, on the evidence of past crises, the... 8th September 2017 · 1 min read
UK Markets Outlook Pessimism about sterling’s prospects overdone In contrast to some forecasters who have suggested that the pound could reach parity with the euro before the end of the year, we expect sterling to reverse some of its recent losses against the euro... 6th September 2017 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Philippines: No need to worry about the weak peso Subdued inflation and a relatively low level of foreign currency debt mean the weakness of the Philippine peso, which has recently been hitting multi-year lows against the US dollar, is not a major... 1st September 2017 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Don’t underestimate the renminbi The renminbi’s strong gains against the dollar over recent weeks caught many by surprise, and most think they will reverse before long. By contrast, we believe there is a good chance that appreciation... 31st August 2017 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Brazil’s political crisis puts back pension reform The past month has brought some signs that the continuing political crisis in Brazil is starting to weigh on the more ambitious elements of the government’s reform programme. While President Temer’s... 30th August 2017 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update African markets continue to pick up August was another strong month for African markets as key equity indices gained. Fears that politics would knock markets off course proved ill-founded. 30th August 2017 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Further yen weakness and Nikkei upside limited Having appreciated against the dollar over recent weeks, the yen initially strengthened further when news of the North Korean missile launch broke yesterday. Despite this, we continue to expect the... 30th August 2017 · 1 min read
