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Drop-In: China’s troubled outlook – How great is recession and financial risk?

Property developers on the brink. A slip into deflation. Activity at a standstill.

Markets are growing nervous as bad news piles up around the Chinese outlook, but how grim is the economic situation? Is another recession on the cards? Are defaulting developers fuelling financial risk? And will the government do enough to support growth? 

Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing hosted a special 20-minute briefing all about the risks around the Chinese economic outlook. During this session, China Economics lead Julian Evans Pritchard, Chief Commodities Economist Caroline Bain and Senior Markets Economist Thomas Mathews addressed key issues, including:

  • How much more stimulus to expect and how the economy could respond;
  • Developers and financial system debt risks – the potential for more problems;
  • What this all means for financial and commodities markets. 
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