US Commercial Property Office Metros Outlook Southern US office markets still set to outperform We expect capital values to see another drop in 2026. But led by strong rent growth in Miami, we think southern markets will start to recover before the end of next year. Occupier demand in these... 26th September 2025 · 6 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Are property equities signalling a fall in UK commercial property capital values? The recent rise in interest rate expectations has not been kind to UK property equities, with the NAREIT price index currently down 18% y/y. On past form that implies commercial property capital... 25th September 2025 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Final value falls deferred again, but US CRE still overvalued Our view that capital values still need to fall by 5% at the all-property level keeps our forecasts below consensus. Based on our forecast of a long-term 10-year Treasury yield of 4.5%, appraised cap... 22nd September 2025 · 21 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update IPF UK Commercial Property Consensus Forecasts The September IPF consensus survey forecasted all-property total returns of 7.9% p.a. over 2025-29. That was unchanged from May, with a downgrade to 2025 returns offset by a slight upgrade over the... 19th September 2025 · 3 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Outlook Buyer-seller mismatch will keep investment slow Asia-Pacific property will endure a slow , uneven recovery. E levated risk-free rates and soft regional growth will restrain capital appreciation, leaving income as the primary engine of returns. We... 18th September 2025 · 19 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Sep. 25) Rental growth has continued to defy gravity and there is early evidence of yield compression in some sectors such as offices. Nevertheless, a muted economic outlook and limited chance of a substantial... 17th September 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Update Q3 PREA consensus forecasts predict a steady recovery for US CRE The latest PREA consensus forecasts showed a minor downgrade in the all-property forecast, both for the next two years and the 2025-29 average. That was driven by downgrades in the residential, senior... 10th September 2025 · 3 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2025) Asia-Pacific all-property capital values showed signs of stabilisation, with a milder 2.5% y/y decline in Q2. Still, the upturn in both investment activity and capital values will be weaker than in... 2nd September 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2025) All-property capital values rose modestly by 0.1% in Q2, suggesting a market floor, with cap rates falling by 5 bps. However, we expect values to see limited upside due to the narrow spread to risk... 22nd August 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Outlook UK Commercial Property Outlook: Property recovery faces numerous headwinds UK commercial property rental growth continues to surprise on the upside, but the capital value recovery is already running out of steam. Looking ahead, weak economic growth, a narrow spread between... 22nd August 2025 · 26 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update RICS survey shows a stagnant UK commercial real estate market The RICS survey showed that occupier demand was still weak in Q2, with firms reluctant to expand in the face of higher costs and an uncertain economic outlook. In line with that, rental and capital... 31st July 2025 · 3 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Update HK offices won’t reclaim 2018 peaks over the next decade Hong Kong’s office market has long demonstrated resilience in weathering economic storms, but the current downturn is unlike any cycle since at least the 1990s. Facing simultaneous structural and... 31st July 2025 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Update NCREIF Q2 2025: Another disappointingly muted release At 1.2% q/q, second quarter returns were roughly in line with expectations. But the data support our view that appraisals don’t fully reflect the drop in values needed for assets to transact. While a... 28th July 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Global CRE to outperform other assets Although a forecast global real estate return of sub-6% p.a. over the next decade appears disappointing, compared to other assets it stacks up well. We expect sub-4% total returns for both global... 24th July 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Jul. 25) Yields for the main commercial property sectors have been remarkably stable over past 18 months, and we expect that stability will continue. That means capital value growth will average under 3% p.a... 24th July 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Update US offices divergence poses both a risk and an opportunity We expect the divergence in performance between the best performing offices and the rest to persist through our forecast. This will see further capital value falls in average and poorer quality space... 22nd July 2025 · 5 mins read
