US Housing Market Outlook Trump's affordability push to have limited success President Trump’s proposals to improve housing affordability are not enough to move the dial, which would require a sustained decline in mortgage rates. Unfortunately, our positive outlook for the... 14th January 2026 · 11 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Dec 2025) The boost to purchasing activity from the modest reduction in borrowing costs in the latter-half of 2025 continued to gather momentum in December, with existing home sales rising to an almost three... 14th January 2026 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (Jan. 2026) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. We believe the RBA will join the rather exclusive club of advanced economy central banks that tightens... 14th January 2026 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US New Home Sales (Sep. & Oct. 2025) New home sales remained above 700,000 annualised in October for the third month in a row, confirming that the combination of slightly lower borrowing costs and strong homebuilder sales incentives are... 13th January 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Sep. & Oct. 2025) Although the government shutdown-delayed residential construction report covering September and October showed a further weakening in housing starts, permit issuance picked up, suggesting we may have... 9th January 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly On EU relations with the Western Hemisphere We suspect that European governments will prioritise their relationship with the US over concerns about Greenland’s sovereignty, not least because they are more focused on Nato and Ukraine. Meanwhile... 9th January 2026 · 5 mins read
US Housing Market Update Proposed investor restrictions won’t shift the outlook The large institutional investors that President Trump has proposed excluding from the single-family market account for just 1% of home sales nationally, meaning barring them would not materially... 8th January 2026 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Halifax House Prices (Dec. 2025) The 0.6% m/m fall in the Halifax measure of house prices in December was the biggest monthly fall since August 2023, chimes with the 0.4% m/m fall in the Nationwide release last week and confirms that... 8th January 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response S&P Global/CIPS UK Construction PMI (Dec. 25) The slight rise in the headline CIPS construction PMI in December 2025 to 40.1, from 39.4 in November, left the index firmly in contractionary territory. The rise was driven entirely by an improvement... 7th January 2026 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update House price growth to beat the consensus forecast in 2026 Lower inflation, lower interest rates, continued tight supply of new homes and the prospect of more high loan-to-income mortgage lending means we think annual house price growth will accelerate from 1... 6th January 2026 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Apartment Metros Outlook D.C. & Miami remain bottom of the apartment rankings The apartment market appears to have turned a corner, with the national vacancy rate stabilizing in recent quarters as new supply moderates, which we expect will restore some pricing power to building... 6th January 2026 · 7 mins read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (Nov. 2025) November’s money and lending figures suggest that while the pre-Budget speculation about tax rises had little influence on households’ borrowing decisions, they were inclined to save a bit more. 5th January 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Update Bank of Japan isn’t falling behind the curve just yet We aren’t convinced that the Bank of Japan is falling behind the curve despite the recent acceleration in bank lending. Nonetheless, there are few signs that BoJ rate hikes are resulting in tighter... 5th January 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Nationwide House Prices (Dec. 2025) December’s 0.4% m/m decline in Nationwide house prices rounds off a tough year for the housing market and suggests the combination of still-high mortgage rates and weak employment are still weighing... 2nd January 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Australia’s housing rally will soon slow in earnest Australia’s house price rally lost some steam in December and if we’re right that the Reserve Bank of Australia will lift interest rates as soon as February this slowdown has further to run. 2nd January 2026 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Oct. 2025) The healthy 0.3% m/m rise in house prices in October adds to evidence that the housing market has regained some momentum following the 75bp fall in mortgage rates earlier this year. Prices are now on... 30th December 2025 · 2 mins read
