US Housing Market Rapid Response US Mortgage Applications (Aug. 2025) Lower borrowing costs sparked a small rebound in home purchase mortgage applications in August, lending support to our view that existing home sales will see a modest lift in the second half of what... 3rd September 2025 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Nationwide House Prices (Aug. 2025) The unexpected fall in the Nationwide measure of house prices in August shows that the recovery in the housing market after the drag from the rise in stamp duty charges on 1st April is being held back... 1st September 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Australia’s housing rebound continues to gather steam Australian house prices rose at their fastest pace in 18 months in August. With leading indicators suggesting further gains are on the cards, we’re inclined to revise up our forecast for house prices... 1st September 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) The still tight rental market and softening outlook for housing activity – due to weak employment, high mortgage rates and growing speculation around property tax rises in the Autumn Budget – suggests... 29th August 2025 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update Possible UK landlord tax a headwind to supply and tailwind to rents If the Chancellor were to apply National Insurance tax to rental income in the Autumn Budget, it could further restrain the supply of rental properties and push up rents by more than otherwise. 28th August 2025 · 4 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) The struggling housing market is unlikely to benefit from the Fed rate cuts we have built into our outlook (four 25bp cuts through mid-2026). These cuts are already been priced in by markets, while... 27th August 2025 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Saudi Vision 2030: where do things stand with five years to go? Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 reform programme passed the halfway mark last year and we published an in-depth Focus evaluating the progress so far. This Update takes a fresh look at how close the... 27th August 2025 · 5 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. We believe monetary easing has further to run in the Antipodes. The case for policy stimulus is clear... 27th August 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Jun. 2025) Although we expect house prices to regain some momentum in the third quarter, the fourth consecutive monthly decline in June suggests that risks to our forecast of a 1% increase this year are clearly... 26th August 2025 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2025) All-property capital values rose modestly by 0.1% in Q2, suggesting a market floor, with cap rates falling by 5 bps. However, we expect values to see limited upside due to the narrow spread to risk... 22nd August 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Outlook UK Commercial Property Outlook: Property recovery faces numerous headwinds UK commercial property rental growth continues to surprise on the upside, but the capital value recovery is already running out of steam. Looking ahead, weak economic growth, a narrow spread between... 22nd August 2025 · 26 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Jul. 2025) Despite a small uptick in July, home sales have held in a narrow 3.9-4.1 million annualised range since mid-2023, a historically weak level that highlights the lack of momentum in the struggling... 21st August 2025 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Update Is rising FHA loan distress a canary in the coalmine? Rising delinquency rates among typically lower-income FHA borrowers hint at stress in riskier segments of the residential mortgage market. But since most FHA borrowers remain in decent financial shape... 20th August 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Could UK property tax reforms boost the economy? The Chancellor is reportedly considering replacing stamp duty land tax and council tax with alternative property taxes in the Autumn Budget. Even if this was revenue-neutral, it could be more... 19th August 2025 · 5 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (July 2025) While the pick-up in housing starts in July was somewhat of a positive surprise, as we expected flooding in Texas to heavily weigh on groundbreaking, the continued loss of momentum in permit issuance... 19th August 2025 · 2 mins read
