UK Housing Market Update Could UK property tax reforms boost the economy? The Chancellor is reportedly considering replacing stamp duty land tax and council tax with alternative property taxes in the Autumn Budget. Even if this was revenue-neutral, it could be more... 19th August 2025 · 5 mins read
Canada Economics Update Canada Housing Watch (Aug. 2025) The fourth consecutive rise in home sales in July means that the housing market is developing close to our expectations, with prices stabilising last month. Housing starts recorded another strong... 18th August 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Update UK RICS Residential Market Survey (Jul. 2025) The still tight rental market and softening in housing activity recorded by the RICS survey in July implies that rents will continue to rise faster than house prices for another year or so. 14th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Weaker data support September rate cut The weaker housing and trade data released this week support our call for a September rate cut, a view which investors are beginning to come round to. 8th August 2025 · 5 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Mortgage Applications (Jul 2025) The fall in home purchase mortgage applications in July still leaves them roughly in line with where they started the year, and continuing to point to a rebound in existing home sales. While some... 6th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Affordability will dampen Australia’s housing rebound Australia’s housing market gained traction in June, and leading indicators suggest the housing rebound has further to run. But with affordability set to remain extremely stretched despite the RBA’s... 1st August 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Outlook UK Housing Outlook: House prices to beat expectations in 2026 The stuttering jobs market and the softening outlook for wage growth means we now expect house prices to rise by only 2.0% in the year to Q4 2025 (3.5% previously). But our view that Bank Rate will... 29th July 2025 · 17 mins read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (Jun. 2025) June’s money and lending figures support wider evidence that the deteriorating jobs market has led to a rise in consumer caution as households have become a bit more cautious about spending. This... 29th July 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (July 2025) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Australia’s economy is struggling to gain momentum, while the recent rebound in activity in New... 24th July 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (June 2025) The fall in existing home sales in June comes despite the recent rebound in consumer confidence, suggesting affordability is still the main driver of homebuyer activity. With house price declines... 23rd July 2025 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook No clear path to housing recovery Activity in the housing market has been struck in a slump since 2023, with still no end in sight. As Trump’s immigration and trade policies push up inflation this year, the Fed will be forced to keep... 10th July 2025 · 12 mins read
UK Housing Market Update UK RICS Residential Market Survey (Jun. 2025) While June’s RICS survey suggests most of the recent weakness in the housing market was due to the temporary influence of the change in stamp duty, it doesn’t yet point to a marked recovery in demand... 10th July 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Chart Pack (Jul. 2025) The big 0.8% m/m fall in Nationwide house prices in June suggests that the housing market is still struggling to recover from both the stamp duty-induced lull and the weak economy. While some leading... 3rd July 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Jun. 2025) Housing is struggling under the weight of high borrowing costs – a problem unlikely to ease if, as we expect, the Fed holds rates steady this year due to tariff-driven inflation, followed by only a... 30th June 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update Dip in house prices won’t turn into deeper correction Recent house price declines suggest a shift toward a more buyer-friendly market, as rising home listings increase choice and temper seller expectations. Nonetheless, leading indicators and solid... 30th June 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (May 2025) Today’s money and lending data release supports wider evidence that activity was relatively soft in May. But with consumer confidence improving and real wages rising at a healthy clip, we still think... 30th June 2025 · 3 mins read