Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Feb.) The latest euro-zone money and credit data continue to suggest that underlying inflationary pressures remain subdued. But needless to say, the recent surge in the oil price, coupled with the fact that... 25th February 2011 · 1 min read
ECB Watch ECB's hawkish stance to harden The recent batch of reasonably upbeat economic data, coupled with further signs that price pressures may be building, will ensure that President Trichet continues to strike a hawkish tone at next week... 24th February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Feb.) February’s EC business and consumer survey adds to evidence that the euro-zone recovery has regained momentum in Q1 and that the ECB’s hawkish stance may harden at next week’s Governing Council... 24th February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update High vacancy rates will stunt euro-zone office rental value growth It now seems clear that prime rental values in most euro-zone office markets are either at a floor, or have entered a recovery phase. But with weak prospects for occupier demand and high vacancy rates... 24th February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs & German Ifo (Feb.) February’s euro-zone PMI and German Ifo surveys suggest that the euro-zone and German economies have started 2011 with a bang. Nonetheless, divergences between the core and peripheral euro-zone... 21st February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Office rental growth becoming more widespread In Q4 2010, office rental values rose or held steady in all markets outside of the euro-zone’s troubled periphery. But increases in retail and industrial rental values were far less common. Although... 17th February 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Recovery continues but low hanging fruit has been picked The key message from the raft of Q4 GDP data released today is that the region’s recovery is continuing but that the underlying pace of growth is now starting to slow in a number of countries. 15th February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone GDP (Q4) The modest rise in euro-zone GDP growth in Q4 is likely to have been partly down to one-off weather-related factors, suggesting that the recovery may regain momentum at the start of this year... 15th February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (Dec.) December’s small fall in euro-zone industrial production was probably down to the unusually severe winter weather and does little to alter the view that the sector remains the key driver behind the... 14th February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly A weak end to 2010 On the face of it, recent data suggest that the euro-zone is on track to expand at a pretty healthy pace in Q4. But we suspect that the disruption caused by the bad weather will mean that Q4’s growth... 14th February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly The Grand Bargain - bazooka or popgun? Peripheral euro-zone bond yields fell further last week in apparent anticipation of the so-called “Grand Bargain” of policy measures. But the markets’ optimism raises the danger that the package falls... 7th February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB keeps its finger off the trigger The lack of a further step-up in the ECB’s anti-inflation rhetoric today supports our view that the Bank is unlikely to tighten policy in the near future. Nonetheless, its generally hawkish stance... 3rd February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Unemp. (Dec.), Ger. Unemp. & E-Z Manu PMI (Jan.) The latest euro-zone data provide encouraging signs that the economic recovery is filtering through to the labour market and that the industrial sector is still expanding strongly. But large... 1st February 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Commercial property recovery to run out of steam in 2011 Much of the coverage of the wider fall-out from the crisis in Egypt has focused on the potential impact on oil prices, but this threat to the global recovery is almost certainly exaggerated. Instead... 28th January 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Jan.) The latest euro-zone money and credit data continue to suggest that inflationary pressures in the region as a whole remain subdued, adding to evidence that the recent sharp rise in the headline CPI... 28th January 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Jan.) January’s EC business and consumer survey adds to evidence that the euro-zone economy has made a pretty good start to the year. But the recovery remains heavily reliant on the industrial and external... 27th January 2011 · 1 min read
