Europe Commercial Property Update Will Spanish property yields close the gap with core markets? The factors which have supported the sharp narrowing of the spread between Spanish and German government bond yields over the past year or so should also be supportive of Spanish property values... 8th October 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Peripheral labour markets are healing, but very slowly Evidence mounted last week that euro-zone unemployment has peaked. Particularly encouragingly, many of the peripheral economies have now enjoyed several months of falling unemployment. What’s more... 7th October 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are opportunities emerging in European non-prime property? The spreads between non-prime and prime yields in some of Europe’s core property investment markets have widened over the past few years. But without stronger evidence of a sustainable economic... 3rd October 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB in no hurry to provide further support President Draghi struck a cautiously optimistic tone about the euro-zone’s nascent recovery. But while he made it clear that the ECB stands ready to prevent excessive rises in market interest rates... 2nd October 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Chart Pack Falling inflation increases scope for monetary easing The fall in euro-zone CPI inflation to 1.1% in September – its lowest rate since February 2010 – leaves it well below the ECB’s target of “below, but close to, 2%”. While falling energy inflation has... 2nd October 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Are Greece’s privatisation targets flawed? A contentious component of the Greek bail-out package has been its privatisation programme. This Update summarises some of the views expressed at a panel discussion in which Ben May was involved at... 1st October 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Unemployment (Aug. 13) & Final Manu. PMI (Sep.13) August’s euro-zone unemployment figures provided further tentative signs that labour market conditions are improving. 1st October 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Renewed political uncertainty adds to Italy's problems Silvio Berlusconi’s decision to withdraw his support for the coalition Government may not trigger elections. But the fragile political situation highlights the huge challenges that Italy faces just to... 30th September 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Sep.) September’s euro-zone flash CPI figures confirmed that the ECB enjoys plenty of room to loosen monetary policy further. 30th September 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Logistics: where are the opportunities? Over the next 5-10 years, we think that capital values in the European logistics sector will be strongest in Hungary, Ireland and the UK, but also above average in Russia and Germany. 30th September 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Surveys point to positive, but modest, growth in Q3 Last week’s surprise (to most people) decision by the US Federal Reserve not to “taper” its asset purchases has some near-term benefits for the euro-zone. But it does not eliminate the longer-term... 30th September 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Sep.) September’s European Commission business and consumer survey echoed the message from other recent indicators that the euro-zone economy probably expanded again in Q3. But growth is too slow to resolve... 27th September 2013 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Narrowing in euro-zone bond spreads may have run its course With Germany unlikely to alter its hardline approach towards the euro-zone’s more troubled governments following last weekend’s federal election, we doubt that the credit spreads of peripheral euro... 26th September 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Aug.) The continued weakness of the euro-zone monetary data in August suggests that the pick-up in the real economy rests on fragile foundations. 26th September 2013 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are Dutch property markets finally responding to the weak economy? The resilience of Dutch commercial property markets to very weak economic fundamentals over the past few years may finally be fading. Previous supports such as the solid labour market and an increased... 26th September 2013 · 1 min read
ECB Watch More LTROs in the pipeline? The firmer tone of the economic data has ruled out any change in interest rates at the ECB Governing Council meeting on 2nd October, while the US Federal Reserve’s recent communication problems will... 25th September 2013 · 1 min read