Europe Economics Update New Government will keep Slovenian recovery on track Slovenia’s recent election looks set to produce a government that will dilute the country’s muchneededprivatisation programme. Nonetheless, on balance, the new administration will probably... 15th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW Survey (Jul.) July’s fall in German ZEW investor sentiment added to signs of a slowdown in theeuro-zone’s largest and strongest economy. 15th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update CEE logistics capital values look set to rise Recent data confirm that a slowdown in euro-zone export orders has led to slowing of industrial production growth in the CEE region. Nevertheless, with rental values yet to rebound from post-crisis... 14th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (May) The sharp fall in euro-zone industrial production in May suggests that the recovery in the sector is flagging before it has even really begun, boding ill for the region’s overall economic recovery. 14th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Don't bank on a German industrial resurgence Data published last week revealed that production fell in all four of the euro-zone’s largest economies in May. But the downturn in Germany has been most disappointing given hopes that this industrial... 14th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Rise in Portuguese bond yields has further to run The recent rise in Portuguese government bond yields related to fears for its banking sector confirms that policymakers have done little to weaken the “doom loop” between banks and sovereigns in the... 10th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update How has employment in the main German cities been faring? Over the past six years, office-based employment growth in Munich has outperformed the other major German cities. In contrast, job creation in Frankfurt has been below par. This helps to explain the... 10th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response French & Italian Industrial Production (May) The sharp falls in Italian and French industrial production in May were another sign that the sector’s recovery is already flagging before it has even really begun. 10th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ABS purchases will not take QE off the table The ECB’s prospective ABS purchases might ultimately help to strengthen the euro-zone financial system. But they will not stave off the immediate disinflationary pressures facing the region. 9th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will France’s large shopping centre pipeline put pressure on rents? France’s large shopping centre pipeline is consistent with the below average level of existing stock. Although it is unlikely to result in a supply overhang, given the weak retail demand fundamentals... 9th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Norway set for several bouts of monetary loosening The Swedish Riksbank’s interest rate cut last week will put pressure on the Norges Bank to follow suit. We expect the Bank to cut its policy rate by the end of the year. And as spending in the energy... 8th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economic Outlook As good as it gets? While the European economic recovery probably picked up a bit of speed in the second quarter of the year, there are growing signs that Q2 was as good as it is likely to get. Activity indicators in the... 8th July 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Norway set for several bouts of monetary loosening The Swedish Riksbank’s interest rate cut last week will put pressure on the Norges Bank to follow suit. We expect the Bank to cut its policy rate by the end of the year. And as spending in the energy... 8th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German & Spanish Industrial Production (May) Germany’s May industrial production figures arguably brought the strongest warning yet that the euro-zone’s fledgling economic recovery is in danger of grinding to a halt. 7th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Is the euro finally about to drop? Recent policy developments support our expectation that the euro will fall against the US dollar. We forecast a rate of $1.30 at end-2014 and $1.25 at end-2015. But that fall could be too little too... 7th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Swiss office rental value correction may not be over Subdued take-up combined with speculative development mean that the short-term risks for rental values in Geneva and particularly Zurich lie to the downside. Nevertheless, with GDP set to grow... 3rd July 2014 · 1 min read
