Europe Economics Update Swedish Riksbank takes steps to tackle deflation Sweden’s central bank today cut its main policy rate by a bigger-than-expected 50bp to 0.25% and pushed back the date at which it first expects to raise rates until the end of 2015 in order to fight... 3rd July 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Swedish Riksbank takes steps to tackle deflation Sweden’s central bank today cut its main policy rate by a bigger-than-expected 50bp to 0.25% and pushed back the date at which it first expects to raise rates until the end of 2015 in order to fight... 3rd July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Chart Pack Was Q2 as good as it gets? In Q2, the euro-zone probably saw a small improvement on Q1’s 0.2% rise in GDP. But falls in the latest activity indicators such as the PMI and the EC’s ESI suggest that the region’s recovery could be... 2nd July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus Is Sweden the Nordic Japan? Fears that Sweden might be about to enter a Japanese-style “lost decade” of deflation and stagnation are not entirely without foundation. But we think that Sweden should be able to avoid such an... 2nd July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Could improved transparency drive yield compression? Ireland, Portugal, Hungary and Romania all registered strong improvements in JLL’s 2014 Global RealEstate Transparency Index. As such, in these countries the scope for yields to narrow seems to... 2nd July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Fiscal Monitor (Jun.) Although progress is still slow, the latest euro-zone fiscal data provided more evidence that peripheral governments are gradually strengthening their fiscal positions. 2nd July 2014 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Focus Is Sweden the Nordic Japan? Fears that Sweden might be about to enter a Japanese-style “lost decade” of deflation and stagnation are not entirely without foundation. But we think that Sweden should be able to avoid such an... 2nd July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Little relief in sight for Italian households May’s rise in Italy’s unemployment rate highlights the dire economic situation of households. And with inflation now slowing sharply, the country’s public debt ratio risks rising inexorably higher. 1st July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Unemployment (May) & Final Manu. PMI (Jun.) May's unemployment data highlighted that the euro-zone’s economic recovery is still too weak to erode the significant amount of slack in the labour market. 1st July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (May) May’s small improvement in the euro-zone monetary data will not be enough to shake off concerns that the financial sector is a brake on the recovery and does little to diminish the risk that the... 30th June 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Jun.) June’s weak euro-zone inflation figures will add to pressure on the ECB to provide more policy support, particularly given recent signs that the recovery may already be slowing. 30th June 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Is the euro-zone recovery over already? Last week's euro-zone economic data added to the growing weight of evidence that the fledgling recovery in the currency union - which only really got going a year ago - is already running out of steam... 30th June 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey & German CPI estimate (Jun.) June’s EC Business and Consumer Survey added to signs that the euro-zone recovery could be nearing a peak when it has barely begun. 27th June 2014 · 1 min read
ECB Watch ECB on hold to gauge effect of new policies The ECB is very unlikely to unveil additional policy support at its policy meeting on 3rd July as it waits to judge the effect of the raft of measures announced in June. President Draghi is likely to... 26th June 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What is the outlook for Oslo retail rents? We expect household spending growth in Norway to be subdued by past standards as households grapple with exceptionally high levels of debt. Coupled with last year’s double-digit rental value increases... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus Can Italy really stop its debt rising? Contrary to official forecasts, Italy’s huge public debt is unlikely to fall over the coming years. Given the size of the economy, this will leave not only Italy in a very precarious position, but... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read