Asia Economics Update Strong rebound in Taiwan growth unlikely Today’s GDP data for Taiwan shows that economic growth slowed considerably in the first quarter. The economy is unlikely to pick up strongly in the coming months, and with inflation set to remain low... 30th April 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Is a credit bubble forming in Indonesia? Strong credit growth in Indonesia has led to concerns that the country could be planting the seeds of the next financial crisis. As this Weekly explains, these worries are overdone. The warning signs... 29th April 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Capital inflows a worry in the Philippines Worries over capital inflows are a major concern for the central bank in the Philippines (BSP), which has been stepping up efforts to deter “hot money”. Although the BSP left its key overnight rate on... 25th April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Inflation outlook remains subdued Emerging Market (EM) inflation fell back in March as temporary distortions related to the Chinese New Year dropped out of the annual comparison. Looking ahead, with underlying price pressures... 25th April 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korea's export recovery is unlikely to be sustained GDP data published earlier today showed that Korea's economy picked up in Q1 on the back of robust export growth. However, the export recovery is unlikely to be sustained. With inflation set to remain... 25th April 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Inflation continues to fall Inflation decelerated across Emerging Asia over the past year, with the y/y rate falling further in March in most of the economies we track. Inflation is also low by historic standards. Falling... 24th April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update China slowdown opens the door for new EM growth stars Recent evidence of weaker economic activity in China and falling global commodity prices supports our view that overall emerging market (EM) growth will disappoint in the years ahead. But while... 24th April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update BRICs continue to struggle The recent weakness of the economic data across the emerging world has been exacerbated by calendar effects. Even so, our EM GDP Tracker reveals a broader trend of weakening activity, particularly in... 22nd April 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Lower commodity prices to help most Asian economies Commodity prices have fallen sharply over the past week as investors have taken a more downbeat view of global growth prospects. Although weak global demand is likely to weigh on Asia during the rest... 22nd April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Chart Pack Consumer spending starts to soften EM consumer spending has been one of the bright spots in the global economy in recent years, supported by healthy wage growth, low unemployment and loose monetary policy. But retail sales growth... 18th April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Focus Introducing the Capital Economics Risk Indicator Although emerging markets (EMs) have experienced rapid growth over the past 30 years, this period has been punctuated by occasional economic and financial crises. These have typically been preceded by... 16th April 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Drop in inflation does not clear the way for a policy rate cut Last month’s drop in India’s wholesale price inflation will have come as a relief to policymakers who have been trying, with limited success, to lower inflation over the last three years. Market... 15th April 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Singapore to keep monetary policy tight The Monetary Authority of Singapore’s decision to leave policy settings unchanged on Friday was no great surprise, given persistently high inflation. Despite the likelihood that growth will remain... 15th April 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update India's industrial recovery fails to convince Today’s industrial production data were better than expected, confirming that India’s industry is picking up. But the data also highlight the growing imperative for a faster pace of approvals of... 12th April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Trade Monitor Export recovery loses its shine The recovery of Emerging Market exports has continued in recent months, but forward looking indicators suggest that they will soften over the course of Q2. What’s more, a big divergence remains in the... 12th April 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Indonesian rates to stay on hold despite inflation risks Although Bank Indonesia kept interest rates on hold today, there is a growing risk that rising headline inflation will cause the central bank to hike rates before the end of the year. However... 11th April 2013 · 1 min read
