Capital Daily Can’t get no (further) relief Despite further encouraging headlines on tariff reduction, a relief rally in Asian markets trading today has been notable by its absence. This reinforces our view that further gains in equity markets... 24th April 2025 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (Apr. 2025) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. At first glance, Australia and New Zealand should be fairly insulated from the brunt of the US’s... 24th April 2025 · 1 min read
Asia Rapid Response Korea GDP (Q1 adv, 2025) Korea’s economy weakened further in Q1 and we expect activity to remain weak in the near term due to headwinds from tariffs and the bleak outlook for the construction sector. 24th April 2025 · 2 mins read
Bank of Japan Watch Bank of Japan will hike again in July The Bank of Japan will revise down its forecasts for GDP growth at the upcoming meeting and keep policy settings unchanged. However, we expect the Board to signal continued confidence in meeting its... 24th April 2025 · 7 mins read
Climate Economics Update China green exports surge but tariff hit looms ahead The surge in China’s green exports to a new record high in March could be the final strong showing for a while given the escalation in US tariffs on all Chinese imports. However, green tech exporters... 23rd April 2025 · 2 mins read
Japan Economics Update Trade war not weighing on business confidence The available business surveys show that confidence hasn’t weakened after Liberation Day. However, with price pressures coming off the boil, the Bank of Japan will continue to tighten policy only... 23rd April 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Flash PMIs (Apr. 2025) 23rd April 2025 · 2 mins read
China Economics Update Can China's domestic consumers take the place of US ones? Retail sales in China are more than ten times larger than the country’s exports to the US. As such, domestic goods consumption would only need to rise by a few percent over the next couple of years to... 22nd April 2025 · 4 mins read
India Economics Weekly India Weekly: Pharma threat, tariff-front running, China dumping A US import levy on pharmaceuticals would be a blow to India’s economy but far from a fatal one: pharmaceuticals have been a longstanding strong-point in India's export sector but they have been... 17th April 2025 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Tariff exemption boost, Singapore goes to the polls The recent US decision to exempt a range of electronics—including smartphones, semiconductors, and TVs—from tariffs offers temporary relief to Asian exporters, particularly Taiwan, where over 60% of... 17th April 2025 · 8 mins read
China Economics Weekly China Weekly: US-China decoupling is going into overdrive The gradual unravelling of economic ties between the US and China over the past decade is now giving way to a much more abrupt and extreme rupture. Sky-high tariffs threaten a collapse in bilateral... 17th April 2025 · 6 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly ANZ Weekly: RBA won’t cut nearly as far as the RBNZ Markets remain optimistic that the RBA will cut its cash rate from 4.1% at present to below 3% by year-end. But with the labour market still tight and activity starting to rebound, we're sticking to... 17th April 2025 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea: not the end of the easing cycle The Bank of Korea today left interest rates unchanged, but the dovish commentary from the press conference and the statement suggest further cuts are coming. We are sticking with our view that rates... 17th April 2025 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Japan Weekly: Mr Akazawa goes to Washington While the Bank of Japan will probably cut its forecasts for GDP growth at its May meeting, we still expect the Bank to signal confidence in meeting its 2% inflation target on a sustained basis. Indeed... 17th April 2025 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Labour Market (Mar. 2025) 17th April 2025 · 2 mins read