Latin America Economics Weekly China-Panama rupture, precious metals & Lat Am The Panamanian Supreme Court’s decision to annul the licences that allowed a Hong Kong based firm to operate in the Panama Canal has been met with a backlash from China. While it’s not clear if China... 6th February 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Weekly Local governments plan to keep tightening their belts China’s provincial governments have now concluded the annual meetings at which they set economic targets and lay out fiscal plans. They anticipate slower GDP growth this year and plan to continue with... 6th February 2026 · 6 mins read
India Economics Weekly A pivotal (and positive) week The net result of an extraordinary week encompassing the FY26/27 Union Budget, an RBI meeting and an announcement of a trade deal with the US is that both near-term and long-term economic prospects... 6th February 2026 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Indonesia’s GDP rebound, Asian elections in focus Q4 GDP growth in Indonesia surprised on the upside at 5.4% y/y, the fastest pace since 2022 and a rare break from the strikingly narrow growth range seen over the past two years. However, given... 6th February 2026 · 5 mins read
India Economics Update RBI easing cycle comes to an end The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept the repo rate unchanged today at 5.25% and sounded a touch more confident on the growth outlook. With a key downside risk to growth having abated, thanks to the... 6th February 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly BoJ will hike rates again in June The recent turmoil in Japan’s bond market seems to have prompted some soul-searching among policymakers in Tokyo and we remain convinced that a decisive LDP victory in the upcoming Lower House... 6th February 2026 · 5 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly RBA has more work to do We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to follow up this week’s 25bp hike with additional policy tightening in the months ahead. Indeed, with growth set to accelerate further above potential this... 6th February 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Update Why this election matters for Bangladesh The upcoming election on 12th February will be pivotal for Bangladesh as the country seeks to restore stability following the 2024 political crisis and place the economy on a more sustainable footing... 5th February 2026 · 4 mins read
India Economics Focus India’s corporate investment is on the cusp of a revival We think conditions for the long-awaited revival in private corporate investment in India are now largely in place. As a result, we now expect real GDP growth in India to average 6.5% per year from... 5th February 2026 · 12 mins read
Japan Economics Update How much of a buffer do government assets provide? Japan’s government holds more financial assets than governments elsewhere. While the value of the government’s domestic asset holdings could plunge during a crisis, a large share is invested overseas... 5th February 2026 · 4 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Valuation Monitor APAC Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q1 2026) Asia-Pacific valuation scores worsened in Q4 as bond yields rose across markets while property yields held flat. As we expect risk-free rates to remain high, all-property valuations are likely to stay... 5th February 2026 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Oil market implications of US-India rapprochement Warming US-India relations, centred around an agreement for India to purchase less Russian oil, risks tightening the global oil market. However, we aren’t convinced that India will curtail imports... 4th February 2026 · 3 mins read
Asset Allocation Focus What Japan’s election could mean for its financial markets This weekend’s election in Japan could be bad news for JGBs if the LDP emerges victorious and this prompts expectations of even more fiscal stimulus. That might not be good for the yen either. But it... 4th February 2026 · 9 mins read
China Economics Update China’s labour market is on the mend Our China Labour Market Indicator has climbed back above its long-run average recently, signalling an improving employment backdrop. A key driver has been stronger labour demand among exporters, who... 4th February 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Update Taiwan leaving Korea in the slow lane Taiwan’s economy for a long time grew at the same pace as Korea, but is now surging ahead. Taiwan’s central role in AI-related electronics supply chains has driven a powerful post-pandemic expansion... 4th February 2026 · 3 mins read