Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs & German Ifo (May) May’s falls in the euro-zone PMI and German Ifo business surveys are slightly worrying signs, but both still point to pretty strong growth for the time being. 21st May 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Focus Colombia elections: Reasons not to fear a Mockus victory We think that concerns that the possible election of Antanas Mockus as President of Colombia could spark a sell-off in the markets are overdone. While his unorthodox approach may cause some market... 21st May 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Where does Thailand go from here? Political unrest will continue in Thailand but we suspect that the level of instability will subside to where it was in 2006-09 when the economy was still able to perform reasonably well. We still... 20th May 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Worst case fear for Thailand diminishing The risk that the political instability is prolonged, and spreads beyond a small area of Bangkok, will stay very high for a while. Nevertheless, we continue to expect that the latest crisis will be... 17th May 2010 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Economy Watchers Survey & Bank Lending (Apr.) The surge in the main balances of Japan’s Economy Watchers Survey (EWS) in April is further evidence of a strong and increasingly broad-based recovery, consistent with our well-above consensus GDP... 13th May 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Philippines election to bring long run market gains The new counting system was up to the job and the presidential election in the Philippines has produced a clear winner. The new government will target fiscal consolidation and measures to lift... 12th May 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Economy should not scupper the deal Whether or not the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats are able to form a stable government will depend on all sorts of issues. But we see no reason why apparent differences on economic and fiscal... 10th May 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Economy should not scupper the deal Whether or not the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats are able to form a stable government will depend on all sorts of issues. But we see no reason why apparent differences on economic and fiscal... 10th May 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly Election needn’t put the UK in the Greek camp The fact that a hung parliament was widely expected helped to dampen the impact on markets. But the key question now is whether the election result will prompt markets to start to put the UK in the... 10th May 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Philippine markets likely to rally after the election There is some uncertainty over whether the new counting system is up to the job but the 10th May presidential election in the Philippines should bring a clear-cut result. The new government will... 6th May 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update How will sterling markets fare after the election? We are not convinced that a hung parliament in the UK would now be such bad news for all sterling assets. Whatever the outcome of tomorrow’s general election, we think 10-year gilt yields will drop to... 5th May 2010 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update UK election ushers in the Great Squeeze Tomorrow’s general election will mark the beginning of a new and difficult phase for the UK economy. Get ready for the Great Squeeze. 5th May 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update UK election ushers in the Great Squeeze Tomorrow’s general election will mark the beginning of a new and difficult phase for the UK economy. Get ready for the Great Squeeze. 5th May 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update UK election ushers in the Great Squeeze Tomorrow’s general election will mark the beginning of a new and difficult phase for the UK economy. Get ready for the Great Squeeze. 5th May 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly Parties leave us none the wiser on spending cuts The Government is going into the election against a fairly favourable backdrop of an expanding economy, a falling claimant count and rising house prices. So it may be disappointed that this economic... 3rd May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey & German Unemployment (Apr.) April’s improvement in the EC business and consumer survey suggests that, for the time being at least, the euro-zone’s fiscal crisis is not preventing a recovery in the broader economy. 29th April 2010 · 1 min read
