UK Economics Update Household Borrowing Monitor (Mar.) Unsecured lending to households ground to a halt in March, raising concerns of a sharp pull-back in consumer spending growth. But other indicators suggest that the slowdown in lending will prove... 1st May 2018 · 1 min read
UK Data Response Manuf. PMI (Apr.) & Money and Credit Statistics (Mar.) The latest Markit/CIPS Manufacturing Survey suggested that the sector struggled to re-gain much momentum at the start of Q2. Meanwhile, the Bank of England’s Money and Credit figures revealed a... 1st May 2018 · 1 min read
Frontier Markets Wrap Public debt fears concentrated in smaller frontiers Public debt positions across the emerging world have come under scrutiny recently and the risks appear to be concentrated in frontier markets. In aggregate, the debt-to-GDP ratio of frontier... 30th April 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Mar.) March’s euro-zone money and lending data add to the evidence that economic growth has peaked. But with households’ and firms’ demand for loans still strong, and ECB policy set to remain accommodative... 30th April 2018 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Weekly How big a threat are rising hedging costs for banks? An increase in hedging costs has undermined the appeal of investing in US$ bonds for Japanese investors. This won’t affect the profitability of banks much as their holdings of foreign bonds are small... 27th April 2018 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly APRA, the Royal Commission and housing We suspect that a tightening in lending standards as a result of the Royal Commission into banking misconduct will more than offset any further relaxation in APRA’s lending restrictions to leave... 27th April 2018 · 1 min read
India Chart Pack Economy gathering momentum Indian GDP growth hit a five-quarter high in Q4 2017, and various indicators suggest that the economy strengthened further in the first quarter of 2018. Industrial production growth last quarter may... 24th April 2018 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Should we worry about the rise in EM public debt? The IMF’s latest Fiscal Monitor has put the rise in EM public debt over the past decade back under the spotlight. While debt ratios have increased across most of the emerging world, major... 19th April 2018 · 1 min read
China Economics Update RRR cut to support lending to small firms Today required reserve ratio (RRR) cut doesn’t constitute broad monetary easing. But it does signal that – despite the recent strength of the official data – policymakers are starting to balance... 17th April 2018 · 1 min read
China Data Response Bank Lending & Broad Credit (Mar.) There was a seasonal pick-up in new lending last month but underlying growth in broad credit continued to slow and is now at its lowest rate in over a decade. Our China Activity Proxy suggests that... 13th April 2018 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey (Q1) The Bank of England’s survey of lenders suggests that the recent weakness in mortgage lending has been driven by falling demand for credit. But the survey also points to a sharp fall in loan approval... 12th April 2018 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Monetary Indicators Monitor (Mar.) Bank lending has continued to slow in recent months. However, banks’ willingness to provide credit has rarely been higher, and broader measures of credit that also include corporate bonds show that... 12th April 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Money growth slowdown is not a concern Growth of almost all monetary aggregates slowed in major advanced economies in February, but we are not worried for three reasons. First, money growth has only slowed a bit. Second, changes in money... 4th April 2018 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Tankan (Q1) Today’s Tankan survey suggests that growth slowed last quarter. Nonetheless, staff shortages have continued to intensify and price pressures are strengthening. 2nd April 2018 · 1 min read
DM Markets Chart Pack Tougher times may lie ahead for the IT sector Equities have had a tough time over the past month, with the information technology (IT) sector in the US hit particularly hard since mid-March. The poor performance of the IT sector cannot be pinned... 29th March 2018 · 1 min read
UK Data Response Q4 Quarterly National Accounts & Money and Credit Q4’s Quarterly National Accounts confirmed that growth in 2017 was broadly unchanged from 2016, and painted a more balanced growth picture for the final quarter. Meanwhile, the latest money and credit... 29th March 2018 · 1 min read
