Asia Economics Update Australia leading the way on rate cuts Today’s surprisingly large 100 basis points (bp) rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) from 7.00% to 6.00% (consensus 50bp), may be the first in a series of aggressive moves from the world’s... 7th October 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Credit crisis prompts India to loosen monetary stance Today’s surprise announcement by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) of a 50 basis point (bp) cut in the cash reserve ratio is the latest indication that the country is not immune to the global financial... 6th October 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Forecast change: UK interest rates heading for 2.5%. Recent developments in the UK and global economies and banking sectors suggest that UK interest rates are going to have to fall even further than we had thought. We now expect rates to fall to 2.5%... 6th October 2008 · 1 min read
US Economics Weekly Growing signs of economic distress to prompt Fed into action 6th October 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB to cut rates before year-end A much more dovish tone from President Trichet today suggests that the Bank will cut interest rates before the year is out. Markets are coming around to our long-held view that rates will reach 3%... 2nd October 2008 · 1 min read
BoE Watch Rates heading towards 3.5% The dramatic events of the past few weeks have changed the debate from whether the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will cut interest rates this year to whether it will cut them in October or November... 2nd October 2008 · 1 min read
ECB Watch Stubbornly focused on inflation risks Recent ECB communications have maintained a stubbornly hawkish tone, despite extreme tension in financial markets and growing evidence of weak activity. This month’s press statement is unlikely to... 25th September 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Currency markets take centre stage (Sep 08) On the whole, inflation pressures are easing across the region. But the ability of policymakers to cut interest rates in response will be governed by developments in the currency markets. We see scope... 22nd September 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update SNB set to cut rates next year The Swiss National Bank left its target range for three-month interest rates unchanged at a mid-point of 2.75%. But with the economic slowdown set to intensify and inflation on course to return to... 18th September 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB set to disappoint markets in the near term Interest rate expectations in the euro-zone have fallen sharply along with those elsewhere in recent weeks and are now pricing in a strong chance of an ECB rate cut this year. While we think that talk... 17th September 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update China shifts stance with surprise rate cut Today’s unexpected rate cut in China is intended as a sign that the government is willing to act preemptively to guarantee continued strong economic growth. But there will also be suspicions that the... 15th September 2008 · 1 min read
China Economics Update China shifts stance with surprise rate cut Today’s unexpected rate cut in China is intended as a sign that the government is willing to act preemptively to guarantee continued strong economic growth. But there will also be suspicions that the... 15th September 2008 · 1 min read
