UK Economics Chart Pack UK Economics Chart Pack (Jan. 2025) While the economy lost all momentum at the end of last year, we still expect GDP growth to accelerate from 0.8% in 2024 to an above-consensus 1.3% in 2025. Admittedly, activity could be restrained if... 13th January 2025 · 1 min read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar starts the year with a bang; sterling tumbles 2025 is off to a hot start, with plenty of volatility across financial markets over the first full week of the year and the US dollar rallying on the back of a blockbuster US non-farm payrolls report... 10th January 2025 · 5 mins read
India Economics Weekly India Weekly: Is the RBI changing tack on the rupee? Movements in the Indian rupee - which hit a fresh low of 85.9/$ his week - appear to have been bigger under the new RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra than they were under his predecessor, raising the... 10th January 2025 · 4 mins read
Latin America Economics Update What does 2025 hold in store for Brazil’s economy? Brazil’s recent period of rapid growth is likely to come an end this year. Sovereign debt concerns will almost certainly rumble on, but further piecemeal austerity measures will probably prevent... 8th January 2025 · 6 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Is Egypt at risk of a sudden stop? The improvement in Egypt’s macroeconomic stability since March’s policy shift has resulted in a surge in capital inflows on a similar scale to that which followed the 2016 devaluation. But if signs... 8th January 2025 · 5 mins read
Africa Economics Update Nigeria: interest rates heading down in 2025 We think Nigeria’s interest rate hiking cycle is over. The CBN is likely to be confident that moderating petrol prices and a more stable naira will quickly see the disinflation process resume. Still... 8th January 2025 · 4 mins read
Capital Daily Recent strength in the Korean won could fade further Although the Korean won has strengthened this year, we think its rally will unwind before long. 8th January 2025 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily How low can Chinese bond yields go? Chinese government bond yields have tumbled in recent weeks and we think that has a bit further to run. This fall in yields, alongside our view that US tariffs will be imposed, help inform our... 6th January 2025 · 4 mins read
Event EM Drop-In: Turkey’s 2025 – Will policymakers get the job done? 1736431200 Turkey’s shift back to macro orthodoxy made it a key EM success story last year, with inflation falling, the currency holding up and its financial markets delivering outsized
Capital Daily Dollar rally likely to extend into 2025 The US dollar has started the year on the front foot. We expect that to continue as the US economy and stock market outperform again while the incoming Trump administration brings in tariffs. While US... 3rd January 2025 · 4 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar ends the year with a bang; more to come in 2025? The FOMC’s hawkish surprise earlier this week has allowed the dollar to break through the top of its post-2022 range, putting it firmly on the front foot going into 2025. With the BoJ and the BoE both... 20th December 2024 · 6 mins read
Capital Daily Pressure on yen from Fed could fade next year We think 2025 will be a better year for the Japanese yen against the US dollar than 2024 has been, as the relative monetary policy picture shifts more decisively in its favour. 19th December 2024 · 4 mins read
Africa Chart Pack Africa Chart Pack (Dec. 2024) Falling inflation and looser monetary policy will help GDP growth to accelerate across Sub-Saharan Africa next year. A shift towards trade protectionism in the US will hurt certain sectors in certain... 18th December 2024 · 0 mins read
Event EM Drop-In: Brazil’s currency crisis – Economic and market implications 1734534000 A collapsing currency. A gaping budget deficit. And a president adding fuel to the fire.
FX Markets Outlook Trump win likely to extend dollar strength We expect the US dollar to appreciate a bit further in 2025 as the US economy and stock market continue to outperform peers and president-elect Donald Trump brings in extensive tariffs next year. As... 17th December 2024 · 22 mins read
Africa Economic Outlook A brighter outlook but a fiscal shadow Falling inflation and looser monetary policy will help GDP growth to accelerate across Sub-Saharan Africa next year. A shift towards trade protectionism in the US will hurt certain sectors in certain... 17th December 2024 · 19 mins read
