US Housing Market Data Response FHFA House Prices / New Home Sales (Oct/Nov.) New home sales fell 11.0% m/m in November, driven by a lack of inventory and pent-up demand from earlier in the year coming to an end. But easing demand is yet to feed through to house price growth... 23rd December 2020 · 2 mins read
India Chart Pack Cautious optimism as 2020 ends COVID-19 has ravaged India’s economy in 2020, and GDP is all but certain to have suffered its largest slump on record this year. But there are reasons for optimism as the year draws to a close... 23rd December 2020 · 9 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Existing Home Sales (Nov.) Existing home sales fell for the first time in five months in November, as record low inventory and the exhaustion of pent-up demand from the spring put a dampener on activity. Record low mortgage... 22nd December 2020 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Housing Starts (Nov.) Single-family starts rose for the seventh consecutive month in November, but at a slower pace. And with production constraints starting to weigh on homebuilder confidence, we think that gains will... 17th December 2020 · 2 mins read
Japan Chart Pack Go To Travel suspension will weigh on consumption PM Suga’s decision on Tuesday to halt the Go To Travel campaign for two weeks from 28th December may put the recovery in services spending into temporary reverse. It comes after authorities in Tokyo... 17th December 2020 · 10 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Central London office completions to peak in 2021 Office completions are set to rise again in Central London next year. We think this will mark the peak for this development cycle in London though, as an increase in remote working will dim the... 16th December 2020 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update NYC apartment vacancy rates well-placed to recover As the country begins to return normal next year, the hardest hit apartment markets in the country will recover. New York City looks particularly well-placed to benefit from returning non-office-based... 16th December 2020 · 3 mins read
China Data Response China Activity & Spending (Nov.) China’s economy continued to accelerate across all fronts in November. We expect output to remain above-trend in the coming quarters, even as tailwinds from stimulus and exports start to ease. 15th December 2020 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update FPC hints that it will loosen lending rules Given a tightening in credit conditions, the Financial Policy Committee is probably right to be unconcerned by the recent surge in mortgage lending. In fact, the Committee is preparing to loosen its... 14th December 2020 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Rating downgrades & pushback by the RBNZ While the credit rating downgrade of Victoria and New South Wales is justified given the deterioration in their fiscal outlook, we suspect that the RBA will continue to keep a lid on states’ borrowing... 11th December 2020 · 5 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response RICS Residential Market Survey (Nov.) After mortgage approvals hit a 13-year high in October, surveyors reported that sales rose yet further in November to what they expect to be the high-water mark. With the outlook for employment shaky... 10th December 2020 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack Boom in house price growth will prove short-lived The surge in home sales looks to be running out of steam. The pending home sales index dropped back in September and October, and that points to a fall in existing home sales in November. With pent-up... 9th December 2020 · 8 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack London house prices rally while rents drop The increase in working from home that appears to have led buyers to put less emphasis on location and more on space has not undermined London house prices. As of September, house price growth in the... 9th December 2020 · 7 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lenders and Administrators Statistics (Q3) The surge in mortgage lending to its highest level since before the financial crisis has come despite banks curbing riskier loans. If we are right to think that house prices will dip, that should... 8th December 2020 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Update Early signs that exodus from cities is easing An important driver of the surge in home sales over recent months has been households leaving apartments in cities to escape COVID-19 and acquire more space to work from home. But a fall in the share... 7th December 2020 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Halifax House Prices (Nov.) There was no sign whatsoever of the surge in house prices abating in November as annual growth in the Halifax index rose to a fresh four-year high. Tight market dynamics suggest that prices will... 7th December 2020 · 2 mins read
